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Who’s ahead in the Iowa governor ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Iowa, 2018, General election

Nov. 2-4
961LV
Nov. 2-4
961LV
Change Research
 Hubbell
49%
 Hubbell
49%

Hubbell

49%

Reynolds

46%

Porter

3%

Siegwarth

1%
46%
 ReynoldsHubbell+3
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
801LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
801LV
Selzer & Co.
 Hubbell
46%
 Hubbell
46%

Hubbell

46%

Reynolds

44%

Porter

2%
44%
 ReynoldsHubbell+2
Oct. 29-Nov. 1
1,462LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 1
1,462LV
Emerson College
 Hubbell
45%
 Hubbell
45%

Hubbell

45%

Reynolds

49%
49%
Reynolds  Reynolds+4
Oct. 8-22
452LV
Oct. 8-22
452LV
University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll Cooperative
 Hubbell
48%
 Hubbell
48%

Hubbell

48%

Reynolds

40%
40%
Reynolds  Hubbell+7
Oct. 8-22
485A
Oct. 8-22
485A
University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll Cooperative
 Hubbell
44%
 Hubbell
44%

Hubbell

44%

Reynolds

40%
40%
Reynolds  Hubbell+4
Sept. 17-20
555LV
Sept. 17-20
555LV
Selzer & Co.
 Hubbell
43%
 Hubbell
43%

Hubbell

43%

Reynolds

41%

Porter

7%
41%
 ReynoldsHubbell+2
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