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Who’s ahead in the Iowa governor ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Iowa, 2018, General election

Nov. 2-4, 2018
961LV
Nov. 2-4, 2018
961LV
Hubbell
49%
Hubbell
49%

Hubbell

49%

Reynolds

46%

Porter

3%

Siegwarth

1%
46%
ReynoldsHubbell+3
Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2018
801LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2018
801LV
Hubbell
46%
Hubbell
46%

Hubbell

46%

Reynolds

44%

Porter

2%
44%
ReynoldsHubbell+2
Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2018
1,462LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2018
1,462LV
Hubbell
45%
Hubbell
45%

Hubbell

45%

Reynolds

49%
49%
Reynolds  Reynolds+4
Oct. 8-22, 2018
452LV
Oct. 8-22, 2018
452LV
Hubbell
48%
Hubbell
48%

Hubbell

48%

Reynolds

40%
40%
Reynolds  Hubbell+7
Oct. 8-22, 2018
485A
Oct. 8-22, 2018
485A
Hubbell
44%
Hubbell
44%

Hubbell

44%

Reynolds

40%
40%
Reynolds  Hubbell+4
Sept. 17-20, 2018
555LV
Sept. 17-20, 2018
555LV
Hubbell
43%
Hubbell
43%

Hubbell

43%

Reynolds

41%

Porter

7%
41%
ReynoldsHubbell+2
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Candidate is an incumbent

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