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Who’s ahead in the Arkansas governor ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

Sept. 11, 2022Sept. 18Sept. 25Oct. 2Oct. 9Oct. 16Oct. 23Oct. 30Nov. 6304050607080%Sanders 54.4%Jones 36.1%Election DayNov. 8, 2022Nov. 8, 2022 leaderNov. 8, 2022 leaderSandersSanders+18.3

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

SAMPLE TYPES:

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

DatesSamplePollsterResultNet result
Dates
Sample
PollsterResult

Governor, Arkansas, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 13-31, 2022
557LV
Oct. 13-31, 2022
557LV
Jones
34%
Jones
34%

Jones

34%

Sanders

53%

Harrington

4%
53%
SandersSanders+19
Oct. 17-18, 2022
974LV
Oct. 17-18, 2022
974LV
Jones
41%
Jones
41%

Jones

41%

Sanders

51%

Harrington

3%
51%
SandersSanders+10
Sept. 14-15, 2022
1,418LV
Sept. 14-15, 2022
1,418LV
Jones
34%
Jones
34%

Jones

34%

Sanders

59%

Harrington

3%
59%
SandersSanders+25
Sept. 12, 2022
835LV
Sept. 12, 2022
835LV
Jones
40%
Jones
40%

Jones

40%

Sanders

51%

Harrington

2%
51%
SandersSanders+11
Aug. 31-Sept. 7, 2022
382LV
Aug. 31-Sept. 7, 2022
382LV
Jones
32%
Jones
32%

Jones

32%

Sanders

62%
62%
Sanders  Sanders+30

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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