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Who’s ahead in the California governor ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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LIKELY VOTERS

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, California, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 4-6
450LV
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Research Co.
 Newsom
60%
 Newsom
60%

Newsom

60%

Dahle

40%
40%
Dahle  Newsom+20
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
802RV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
802RV
University of Southern California Schwarzenegger Institute for State and Global Policy
 Newsom
62%
 Newsom
62%

Newsom

62%

Dahle

38%
38%
Dahle  Newsom+24
Oct. 25-31
5,972LV
Oct. 25-31
5,972LV
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies
 Newsom
58%
 Newsom
58%

Newsom

58%

Dahle

37%
37%
Dahle  Newsom+21
July 29-Oct. 27
200LV
July 29-Oct. 27
200LV
ActiVote
 Newsom
61%
 Newsom
61%

Newsom

61%

Dahle

39%
39%
Dahle  Newsom+22
Oct. 11-26
860LV
Oct. 11-26
860LV
YouGov
 Newsom
56%
 Newsom
56%

Newsom

56%

Dahle

37%
37%
Dahle  Newsom+19
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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