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Who’s ahead in the Texas governor ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Texas, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-5
786LV
Nov. 2-5
786LV
CWS Research
 O'Rourke
42%
 O'Rourke
42%

O'Rourke

42%

Abbott

53%
53%
Abbott  Abbott+11
Aug. 7-Nov. 5
722LV
Aug. 7-Nov. 5
722LV
ActiVote
 O'Rourke
47%
 O'Rourke
47%

O'Rourke

47%

Abbott

53%
53%
Abbott  Abbott+6
Oct. 19-26
1,200LV
Oct. 19-26
1,200LV
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs
 O'Rourke
40%
 O'Rourke
40%

O'Rourke

40%

Abbott

53%

Tippetts

2%

Barrios

1%
53%
 AbbottAbbott+13
Oct. 11-26
817LV
Oct. 11-26
817LV
YouGov
 O'Rourke
44%
 O'Rourke
44%

O'Rourke

44%

Abbott

51%
51%
Abbott  Abbott+7
Oct. 17-24
973LV
Oct. 17-24
973LV
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research
 O'Rourke
44%
 O'Rourke
44%

O'Rourke

44%

Abbott

50%

Tippetts

2%

Barrios

1%
50%
 AbbottAbbott+6
Oct. 17-24
1,330RV
Oct. 17-24
1,330RV
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research
 O'Rourke
44%
 O'Rourke
44%

O'Rourke

44%

Abbott

47%

Tippetts

2%

Barrios

1%
47%
 AbbottAbbott+3
Oct. 17-19
1,000LV
Oct. 17-19
1,000LV
Emerson College
 O'Rourke
42%
 O'Rourke
42%

O'Rourke

42%

Abbott

52%

Tippetts

1%

Barrios

0%
52%
 AbbottAbbott+10
Oct. 16-19
649LV
Oct. 16-19
649LV
Siena College
 O'Rourke
43%
 O'Rourke
43%

O'Rourke

43%

Abbott

52%
52%
Abbott  Abbott+9
Oct. 15-19
1,264RV
Oct. 15-19
1,264RV
Beacon Research
 O'Rourke
45%
 O'Rourke
45%

O'Rourke

45%

Abbott

48%
48%
Abbott  Abbott+3
Oct. 11-18
930LV
Oct. 11-18
930LV
BSP Research/Shaw & Company Research
 O'Rourke
41%
 O'Rourke
41%

O'Rourke

41%

Abbott

53%
53%
Abbott  Abbott+12
Oct. 11-18
1,400RV
Oct. 11-18
1,400RV
BSP Research/Shaw & Company Research
 O'Rourke
42%
 O'Rourke
42%

O'Rourke

42%

Abbott

46%
46%
Abbott  Abbott+4
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