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Who’s ahead in the Vermont governor ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

SAMPLE TYPES:

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

DatesSamplePollsterResultNet result
Dates
Sample
PollsterResult

Governor, Vermont, 2022, General election

Oct. 21-26, 2022
1,039LV
Oct. 21-26, 2022
1,039LV
Data for Progress
 Siegel
24%
 Siegel
24%

Siegel

24%

Scott

65%

Hoyt

3%

Duval

1%

Peters

1%
65%
 ScottScott+41
Sept. 29-Oct. 3, 2022
765LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 3, 2022
765LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Siegel
31%
 Siegel
31%

Siegel

31%

Scott

48%

Duval

3%

Hoyt

3%

Peters

2%
48%
 ScottScott+17
Sept. 3-7, 2022
1,072LV
Sept. 3-7, 2022
1,072LV

Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party.

Trafalgar Group
 Siegel
15%
 Siegel
15%

Siegel

15%

Scott

68%
68%
Scott  Scott+53
July 21-25, 2022
651LV
July 21-25, 2022
651LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Siegel
16%
 Siegel
16%

Siegel

16%

Scott

60%

Davis

4%
60%
 ScottScott+44

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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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