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Who’s ahead in the Montana governor ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

SAMPLE TYPES:

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

DatesSamplePollsterResultNet result
Dates
Sample
PollsterResult

Governor, Montana, 2024, General election

Sept. 30-Oct. 16, 2024
760A
Sept. 30-Oct. 16, 2024
760A
Busse
31%
Busse
31%

Busse

31%

Gianforte

50%

Leib

5%
50%
GianforteGianforte+19
Oct. 5-8, 2024
656LV
Oct. 5-8, 2024
656LV
Busse
35%
Busse
35%

Busse

35%

Gianforte

57%
57%
Gianforte  Gianforte+22
Oct. 5-8, 2024
656RV
Oct. 5-8, 2024
656RV
Busse
35%
Busse
35%

Busse

35%

Gianforte

57%
57%
Gianforte  Gianforte+22
Sept. 29-Oct. 1, 2024
500LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 1, 2024
500LV
Busse
36%
Busse
36%

Busse

36%

Gianforte

55%

Leib

1%
55%
GianforteGianforte+19
Aug. 25-29, 2024
600LV
Aug. 25-29, 2024
600LV
Busse
38%
Busse
38%

Busse

38%

Gianforte

54%
54%
Gianforte  Gianforte+16
Aug. 18-20, 2024
500LV
Aug. 18-20, 2024
500LV
Busse
34%
Busse
34%

Busse

34%

Gianforte

53%

Leib

4%
53%
GianforteGianforte+19

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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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