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Who’s ahead in the Virginia governor’s race?

An updating average for each candidate, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Virginia, 2025, General election

Jan. 6-13, 2025
806RV
Jan. 6-13, 2025
806RV
Spanberger
44%
Spanberger
44%

Spanberger

44%

Sears

39%
39%
Sears  Spanberger+5
Jan. 6-8, 2025
1,000RV
Jan. 6-8, 2025
1,000RV
Spanberger
42%
Spanberger
42%

Spanberger

42%

Sears

41%
41%
Sears  Spanberger+1
Dec. 15-19, 2024
625RV
Dec. 15-19, 2024
625RV
Scott
44%
Scott
44%

Scott

44%

Sears

46%
46%
Sears  Sears+2
Dec. 15-19, 2024
625RV
Dec. 15-19, 2024
625RV
Spanberger
47%
Spanberger
47%

Spanberger

47%

Sears

44%
44%
Sears  Spanberger+3
Sept. 3-9, 2024
1,000A
Sept. 3-9, 2024
1,000A
Spanberger
40%
Spanberger
40%

Spanberger

40%

Miyares

39%
39%
Miyares  Spanberger+1
Sept. 3-9, 2024
1,000A
Sept. 3-9, 2024
1,000A
Spanberger
39%
Spanberger
39%

Spanberger

39%

Sears

39%
39%
Sears  Even
Sept. 7-10, 2023
834LV
Sept. 7-10, 2023
834LV
Spanberger
27%
Spanberger
27%

Spanberger

27%

Sears

26%
26%
Sears  Spanberger+1
Sept. 7-10, 2023
834LV
Sept. 7-10, 2023
834LV
Spanberger
26%
Spanberger
26%

Spanberger

26%

Miyares

22%
22%
Miyares  Spanberger+4
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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