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Who’s ahead in the Alaska governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 24, 2022

Governor, Alaska, 2022

403LV
Oct.21-25
403LV
Gara
25%
Gara
25%

Gara

25%

Dunleavy

51%

Walker

24%
51%
DunleavyDunleavy+26
403LV
Oct.21-25
403LV
Gara
25%
Gara
25%

Gara

25%

Dunleavy

47%

Walker

23%

Pierce

4%
47%
DunleavyDunleavy+22

Sept. 26, 2022

Governor, Alaska, 2022

1,282LV
Sep.25-27
1,282LV
Walker
48%
Walker
48%

Walker

48%

Dunleavy

52%
52%
Dunleavy  Dunleavy+4
1,282LV
Sep.25-27
1,282LV
Gara
47%
Gara
47%

Gara

47%

Dunleavy

53%
53%
Dunleavy  Dunleavy+7
1,282LV
Sep.25-27
1,282LV
Gara
29%
Gara
29%

Gara

29%

Dunleavy

48%

Walker

23%
48%
DunleavyDunleavy+19
1,282LV
Sep.25-27
1,282LV
Gara
28%
Gara
28%

Gara

28%

Dunleavy

43%

Walker

21%

Pierce

7%
43%
DunleavyDunleavy+15

Sept. 10, 2022

Governor, Alaska, 2022

500LV
Sep.6-11
500LV
Gara
41%
Gara
41%

Gara

41%

Dunleavy

59%
59%
Dunleavy  Dunleavy+18
500LV
Sep.6-11
500LV
Gara
26%
Gara
26%

Gara

26%

Dunleavy

54%

Walker

20%
54%
DunleavyDunleavy+28
500LV
Sep.6-11
500LV
Gara
26%
Gara
26%

Gara

26%

Dunleavy

49%

Walker

17%

Pierce

6%
49%
DunleavyDunleavy+23

July 23, 2022

Governor, Alaska, 2022

613LV
Jul.22-24
613LV
Walker
50%
Walker
50%

Walker

50%

Dunleavy

50%
50%
Dunleavy  Even

July 4, 2022

Governor, Alaska, 2022

1,201LV
Jul.2-5
1,201LV
Gara
26%
Gara
26%

Gara

26%

Dunleavy

51%

Walker

23%
51%
DunleavyDunleavy+25
1,201LV
Jul.2-5
1,201LV
Gara
26%
Gara
26%

Gara

26%

Dunleavy

44%

Walker

20%

Pierce

11%
44%
DunleavyDunleavy+18
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