UPDATED May 12, 2021, at 9:35 AM

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Apr 30-May 8, 2021
602 LV
Apr 30-May 8, 2021
602LVDemings
38%

Demings

38%

DeSantis

53%
53%
DeSantisDeSantis+15
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Apr 30-May 8, 2021
602 LV
Apr 30-May 8, 2021
602LVFried
39%

Fried

39%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+12
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Apr 30-May 8, 2021
602 LV
Apr 30-May 8, 2021
602LVCrist
41%

Crist

41%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+10

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

May 5, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
May 4, 2021
600 RV
May 4, 2021
600RVFried
47%

Fried

47%

DeSantis

53%
53%
DeSantisDeSantis+7
Governor
Fla.Fla.
May 4, 2021
600 RV
May 4, 2021
600RVDemings
46%

Demings

46%

DeSantis

54%
54%
DeSantisDeSantis+8
Governor
Fla.Fla.
May 4, 2021
600 RV
May 4, 2021
600RVCrist
47%

Crist

47%

DeSantis

53%
53%
DeSantisDeSantis+6

March 24, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Mar 22-24, 2021
1,923 LV
Mar 22-24, 2021
1,923LVFried
45%

Fried

45%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisDeSantis+1

March 1, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Feb 24-28, 2021
625 RV
Feb 24-28, 2021
625RVCrist
41%

Crist

41%

DeSantis

52%
52%
DeSantisDeSantis+11
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Feb 24-28, 2021
625 RV
Feb 24-28, 2021
625RVFried
42%

Fried

42%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+9

Sept. 20, 2020

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 25-31, 2018
1,005 LV
Oct 25-31, 2018
1,005LVGillum
41%

Gillum

41%

DeSantis

40%
40%
DeSantisGillum+1
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