See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 28, 2020, at 2:14 PM

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Sept. 21, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 25-31, 2018
1,005 LV
Oct 25-31, 2018
1,005LVGillum
41%

Gillum

41%

DeSantis

40%
40%
DeSantisGillum+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 6, 2018

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Nov 4-5, 2018
1,484 LV
Nov 4-5, 2018
1,484LVGillum
47%

Gillum

47%

DeSantis

50%
50%
DeSantisDeSantis+3
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Nov 3-5, 2018
600 LV
Nov 3-5, 2018
600LVGillum
49%

Gillum

49%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisGillum+2

Nov. 5, 2018

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Nov 3-4, 2018
3,088 LV
Nov 3-4, 2018
3,088LVGillum
50%

Gillum

50%

DeSantis

45%

Richardson

2%
MoreGillum+4
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 29-Nov 4, 2018
1,142 LV
Oct 29-Nov 4, 2018
1,142LVGillum
50%

Gillum

50%

DeSantis

43%
43%
DeSantisGillum+7
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Nov 1-3, 2018
450 RV
Nov 1-3, 2018
450RVGillum
47%

Gillum

47%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisGillum+1
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Nov 1-3, 2018
784 LV
Nov 1-3, 2018
784LVGillum
51%

Gillum

51%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisGillum+5
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 30-Nov 2, 2018
917 RV
Oct 30-Nov 2, 2018
917RVGillum
50%

Gillum

50%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisGillum+5
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 30-Nov 2, 2018
595 LV
Oct 30-Nov 2, 2018
595LVGillum
50%

Gillum

50%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisGillum+4

Nov. 4, 2018

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2018
753 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2018
753LVGillum
48%

Gillum

48%

DeSantis

47%
47%
DeSantisGillum+1

Nov. 3, 2018

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Nov 1-2, 2018
2,733 LV
Nov 1-2, 2018
2,733LVGillum
48%

Gillum

48%

DeSantis

46%

Richardson

2%
MoreGillum+2
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 31-Nov 2, 2018
600 LV
Oct 31-Nov 2, 2018
600LVGillum
50%

Gillum

50%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisGillum+5
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 28-31, 2018
558 LV
Oct 28-31, 2018
558LVGillum
47%

Gillum

47%

DeSantis

48%
48%
DeSantisDeSantis+1
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 24-30, 2018
1,400 LV
Oct 24-30, 2018
1,400LVGillum
44%

Gillum

44%

DeSantis

42%
42%
DeSantisGillum+2
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