UPDATED Apr. 12, 2021, at 10:14 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added March 25, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Mar 22-24, 2021
1,923 LV
Mar 22-24, 2021
1,923LVFried
45%

Fried

45%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisDeSantis+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

March 2, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Feb 24-28, 2021
625 RV
Feb 24-28, 2021
625RVCrist
41%

Crist

41%

DeSantis

52%
52%
DeSantisDeSantis+11
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Feb 24-28, 2021
625 RV
Feb 24-28, 2021
625RVFried
42%

Fried

42%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+9

Sept. 21, 2020

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 25-31, 2018
1,005 LV
Oct 25-31, 2018
1,005LVGillum
41%

Gillum

41%

DeSantis

40%
40%
DeSantisGillum+1

Nov. 6, 2018

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Nov 4-5, 2018
1,484 LV
Nov 4-5, 2018
1,484LVGillum
47%

Gillum

47%

DeSantis

50%
50%
DeSantisDeSantis+3
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Nov 3-5, 2018
600 LV
Nov 3-5, 2018
600LVGillum
49%

Gillum

49%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisGillum+2

Nov. 5, 2018

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Nov 3-4, 2018
3,088 LV
Nov 3-4, 2018
3,088LVGillum
50%

Gillum

50%

DeSantis

45%

Richardson

2%
MoreGillum+4
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 29-Nov 4, 2018
1,142 LV
Oct 29-Nov 4, 2018
1,142LVGillum
50%

Gillum

50%

DeSantis

43%
43%
DeSantisGillum+7
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Nov 1-3, 2018
450 RV
Nov 1-3, 2018
450RVGillum
47%

Gillum

47%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisGillum+1
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Nov 1-3, 2018
784 LV
Nov 1-3, 2018
784LVGillum
51%

Gillum

51%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisGillum+5
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 30-Nov 2, 2018
917 RV
Oct 30-Nov 2, 2018
917RVGillum
50%

Gillum

50%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisGillum+5
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Oct 30-Nov 2, 2018
595 LV
Oct 30-Nov 2, 2018
595LVGillum
50%

Gillum

50%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisGillum+4
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