UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 9:55 AM

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Sep 11-12, 2021
911 LV
Sep 11-12, 2021
911LVCrist
55%

Crist

55%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisCrist+9

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 6, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Sep 3-5, 2021
1,144 LV
Sep 3-5, 2021
1,144LVFried
48%

Fried

48%

DeSantis

52%
52%
DeSantisDeSantis+4
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Sep 3-5, 2021
1,144 LV
Sep 3-5, 2021
1,144LVCrist
54%

Crist

54%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisCrist+7
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000 LV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000LVFried
38%

Fried

38%

DeSantis

48%
48%
DeSantisDeSantis+10
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000 LV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000LVCrist
38%

Crist

38%

DeSantis

48%
48%
DeSantisDeSantis+10
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000 RV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000RVFried
36%

Fried

36%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisDeSantis+9
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000 RV
Aug 20-24, 2021
1,000RVCrist
36%

Crist

36%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisDeSantis+9

Aug. 31, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 21-28, 2021
1,000 RV
Aug 21-28, 2021
1,000RVCrist
38%

Crist

38%

DeSantis

41%
41%
DeSantisDeSantis+3
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 21-28, 2021
1,000 RV
Aug 21-28, 2021
1,000RVFried
38%

Fried

38%

DeSantis

41%
41%
DeSantisDeSantis+3

Aug. 22, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 14-18, 2021
1,000 LV
Aug 14-18, 2021
1,000LVFried
54%

Fried

54%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisFried+7
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 14-18, 2021
1,000 LV
Aug 14-18, 2021
1,000LVCrist
57%

Crist

57%

DeSantis

43%
43%
DeSantisCrist+13
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 14-17, 2021
1,585 LV
Aug 14-17, 2021
1,585LVFried
44%

Fried

44%

DeSantis

49%
49%
DeSantisDeSantis+5
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 14-17, 2021
1,585 LV
Aug 14-17, 2021
1,585LVCrist
45%

Crist

45%

DeSantis

49%
49%
DeSantisDeSantis+4

Aug. 17, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 4-10, 2021
700 RV
Aug 4-10, 2021
700RVFried
40%

Fried

40%

DeSantis

50%
50%
DeSantisDeSantis+10
Governor
Fla.Fla.
Aug 4-10, 2021
700 RV
Aug 4-10, 2021
700RVCrist
43%

Crist

43%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisDeSantis+3
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