UPDATED Nov. 29, 2021, at 9:23 AM

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Nov 9, 2021
737 LV
Nov 9, 2021
737LVFried
37%

Fried

37%

DeSantis

50%
50%
DeSantisDeSantis+13
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Nov 9, 2021
737 LV
Nov 9, 2021
737LVCrist
40%

Crist

40%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisDeSantis+6
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Nov 9, 2021
867 RV
Nov 9, 2021
867RVFried
35%

Fried

35%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisDeSantis+11
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Nov 9, 2021
867 RV
Nov 9, 2021
867RVCrist
37%

Crist

37%

DeSantis

44%
44%
DeSantisDeSantis+7

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 21, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Nov 18-19, 2021
2,896 RV
Nov 18-19, 2021
2,896RVFried
42%

Fried

42%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+9
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Nov 18-19, 2021
2,896 RV
Nov 18-19, 2021
2,896RVCrist
45%

Crist

45%

DeSantis

51%
51%
DeSantisDeSantis+6

Nov. 3, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Oct 17-23, 2021
500 A
Oct 17-23, 2021
500AFried
33%

Fried

33%

DeSantis

46%
46%
DeSantisDeSantis+14
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Oct 17-23, 2021
500 A
Oct 17-23, 2021
500ACrist
35%

Crist

35%

DeSantis

47%
47%
DeSantisDeSantis+12
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Oct 17-23, 2021
500 A
Oct 17-23, 2021
500ATaddeo
28%

Taddeo

28%

DeSantis

47%
47%
DeSantisDeSantis+19

Sept. 30, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Sep 23-27, 2021
405 LV
Sep 23-27, 2021
405LVFried
36%

Fried

36%

DeSantis

48%
48%
DeSantisDeSantis+12
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Sep 23-27, 2021
405 LV
Sep 23-27, 2021
405LVCrist
39%

Crist

39%

DeSantis

47%
47%
DeSantisDeSantis+8

Sept. 14, 2021

Governor
Governor
Fla. Fla.
Sep 11-12, 2021
911 LV
Sep 11-12, 2021
911LVCrist
55%

Crist

55%

DeSantis

45%
45%
DeSantisCrist+9
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