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Who’s ahead in the Iowa governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 2, 2022

Governor, Iowa, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

801LV
Oct.31-Nov.3
801LV
DeJear
37%
DeJear
37%

DeJear

37%

Reynolds

54%

Stewart

4%
54%
ReynoldsReynolds+17

Oct. 26, 2022

Governor, Iowa, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600LV
Oct.26-27
600LV
DeJear
38%
DeJear
38%

DeJear

38%

Reynolds

57%
57%
Reynolds  Reynolds+19

Oct. 24, 2022

Governor, Iowa, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

623LV
Oct.22-25
623LV
DeJear
42%
DeJear
42%

DeJear

42%

Reynolds

54%
54%
Reynolds  Reynolds+12

Oct. 18, 2022

Governor, Iowa, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600LV
Oct.15-19
600LV
DeJear
39%
DeJear
39%

DeJear

39%

Reynolds

56%
56%
Reynolds  Reynolds+17

Oct. 11, 2022

Governor, Iowa, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

620LV
Oct.9-12
620LV
DeJear
35%
DeJear
35%

DeJear

35%

Reynolds

52%

Stewart

4%
52%
ReynoldsReynolds+17
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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