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Who’s ahead in the Kentucky governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Kentucky, 2019

1,117LV
Oct.29-Nov.1
1,117LV
Beshear
47%
Beshear
47%

Beshear

47%

Bevin

52%

Hicks

1%
52%
BevinBevin+6
401LV
Oct.13-20
401LV
Beshear
55%
Beshear
55%

Beshear

55%

Bevin

36%

Hicks

4%
36%
BevinBeshear+19
548RV
Oct.13-20
548RV
Beshear
52%
Beshear
52%

Beshear

52%

Bevin

35%

Hicks

4%
35%
BevinBeshear+17
625LV
Oct.10-13
625LV
Beshear
46%
Beshear
46%

Beshear

46%

Bevin

46%

Hicks

1%
46%
BevinEven
501LV
Aug.19-22
501LV
Beshear
48%
Beshear
48%

Beshear

48%

Bevin

39%

Hicks

6%
39%
BevinBeshear+9
792LV
Aug.12-13
792LV
Beshear
48%
Beshear
48%

Beshear

48%

Bevin

39%

Hicks

5%
39%
BevinBeshear+9
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