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Who’s ahead in the Maine governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 5, 2022

Governor, Maine, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

922LV
Nov.2-6
922LV
Mills
52%
Mills
52%

Mills

52%

LePage

44%

Hunkler

2%
44%
LePageMills+8

Nov. 1, 2022

Governor, Maine, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,116LV
Oct.28-Nov.2
1,116LV
Mills
49%
Mills
49%

Mills

49%

LePage

43%

Hunkler

4%
43%
LePageMills+6

Oct. 14, 2022

Governor, Maine, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

800LV
Oct.7-15
800LV
Mills
49%
Mills
49%

Mills

49%

LePage

39%

Hunkler

2%
39%
LePageMills+10

Sept. 19, 2022

Governor, Maine, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,164LV
Sep.19-20
1,164LV
Mills
53%
Mills
53%

Mills

53%

LePage

41%

Hunkler

1%
41%
LePageMills+11

Sept. 18, 2022

Governor, Maine, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

694LV
Sep.15-19
694LV
Mills
53%
Mills
53%

Mills

53%

LePage

39%

Hunkler

1%
39%
LePageMills+14
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