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UPDATED Dec. 2, 2020, at 8:46 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Maine?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
MaineMaine
Nov 1, 2018
518 RV
Nov 1, 2018
518RVMills
55%

Mills

55%

Moody

38%

Hayes

7%
MoreMills+17

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 31, 2018

Governor
Governor
MaineMaine
Oct 27-29, 2018
883 LV
Oct 27-29, 2018
883LVMills
50%

Mills

50%

Moody

42%
42%
MoodyMills+8

Oct. 19, 2018

Governor
Governor
MaineMaine
Oct 1-7, 2018
500 LV
Oct 1-7, 2018
500LVMills
44%

Mills

44%

Moody

36%

Hayes

8%

Caron

2%
MoreMills+9

Oct. 13, 2018

Governor
Governor
MaineMaine
Sep 30-Oct 1, 2018
801 LV
Sep 30-Oct 1, 2018
801LVMills
52%

Mills

52%

Moody

44%
44%
MoodyMills+8
Governor
MaineMaine
Sep 26-30, 2018
600 LV
Sep 26-30, 2018
600LVMills
41%

Mills

41%

Moody

33%

Hayes

10%

Caron

2%
MoreMills+8

Aug. 8, 2018

Governor
Governor
MaineMaine
Aug 2-6, 2018
500 LV
Aug 2-6, 2018
500LVMills
39%
Tie

Mills

39%

Moody

39%

Hayes

4%

Caron

3%
MoreEven

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