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Who’s ahead in the Maryland governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 22, 2022

Governor, Maryland, 2022

989LV
Oct.20-23
989LV
Moore
58%
Moore
58%

Moore

58%

Cox

27%

Lashar

3%

Wallace

2%

Harding

1%
27%
CoxMoore+31

Sept. 26, 2022

Sept. 11, 2022

Governor, Maryland, 2022

748LV
Sep.8-12
748LV
Moore
53%
Moore
53%

Moore

53%

Cox

31%

Lashar

4%

Wallace

2%
31%
CoxMoore+22

Oct. 6, 2018

Oct. 5, 2018

Governor, Maryland, 2018

806LV
Oct.1-6
806LV
Jealous
36%
Jealous
36%

Jealous

36%

Hogan

54%

Quinn

1%

Schlakman

1%
54%
HoganHogan+18
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