UPDATED Jun. 14, 2021, at 4:25 PM

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Who’s ahead in Massachusetts?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added March 14, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
756 RV
Mar 5-9, 2021
756RVAllen
14%

Allen

14%

Baker

31%
31%
BakerBaker+17
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
800 A
Mar 5-9, 2021
800AAllen
14%

Allen

14%

Baker

30%
30%
BakerBaker+16
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
756 RV
Mar 5-9, 2021
756RVDowning
12%

Downing

12%

Baker

31%
31%
BakerBaker+19
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
800 A
Mar 5-9, 2021
800ADowning
11%

Downing

11%

Baker

30%
30%
BakerBaker+19
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
756 RV
Mar 5-9, 2021
756RVKennedy
27%

Kennedy

27%

Baker

37%
37%
BakerBaker+10
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
800 A
Mar 5-9, 2021
800AKennedy
25%

Kennedy

25%

Baker

35%
35%
BakerBaker+10
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
756 RV
Mar 5-9, 2021
756RVHealey
28%

Healey

28%

Baker

31%
31%
BakerBaker+3
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
800 A
Mar 5-9, 2021
800AHealey
27%

Healey

27%

Baker

30%
30%
BakerBaker+3

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 31, 2018

Governor
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Oct 25-28, 2018
502 LV
Oct 25-28, 2018
502LVGonzalez
25%

Gonzalez

25%

Baker

68%
68%
BakerBaker+43

Oct. 30, 2018

Governor
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Oct 10-27, 2018
485 RV
Oct 10-27, 2018
485RVGonzalez
25%

Gonzalez

25%

Baker

64%
64%
BakerBaker+39
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Oct 10-27, 2018
402 LV
Oct 10-27, 2018
402LVGonzalez
27%

Gonzalez

27%

Baker

65%
65%
BakerBaker+38

Oct. 28, 2018

Governor
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Oct 24-28, 2018
500 LV
Oct 24-28, 2018
500LVGonzalez
26%

Gonzalez

26%

Baker

65%
65%
BakerBaker+39

Oct. 9, 2018

Governor
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Oct 1-7, 2018
485 LV
Oct 1-7, 2018
485LVGonzalez
27%

Gonzalez

27%

Baker

66%
66%
BakerBaker+39
Governor
Mass.Mass.
Oct 1-7, 2018
791 RV
Oct 1-7, 2018
791RVGonzalez
26%

Gonzalez

26%

Baker

65%
65%
BakerBaker+39
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