UPDATED Nov. 23, 2021, at 9:22 AM

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Who’s ahead in Massachusetts?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 15-19, 2021
789 RV
Nov 15-19, 2021
789RVHealey
26%

Healey

26%

Baker

32%

Diehl

21%
MoreBaker+6
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 15-19, 2021
789 RV
Nov 15-19, 2021
789RVKennedy
30%

Kennedy

30%

Baker

36%
36%
BakerBaker+6
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 15-19, 2021
789 RV
Nov 15-19, 2021
789RVHealey
29%

Healey

29%

Baker

33%
33%
BakerBaker+4

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 18, 2021

Governor
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
687 RV
Nov 9-16, 2021
687RVSilva
14%

Silva

14%

Polito

22%
22%
PolitoPolito+8
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
750 A
Nov 9-16, 2021
750ASilva
14%

Silva

14%

Polito

21%
21%
PolitoPolito+7
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
687 RV
Nov 9-16, 2021
687RVAllen
17%

Allen

17%

Polito

22%
22%
PolitoPolito+5
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
750 A
Nov 9-16, 2021
750AAllen
17%

Allen

17%

Polito

21%
21%
PolitoPolito+4
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
687 RV
Nov 9-16, 2021
687RVChang-Diaz
19%

Chang-Diaz

19%

Polito

23%
23%
PolitoPolito+4
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
750 A
Nov 9-16, 2021
750AChang-Diaz
19%

Chang-Diaz

19%

Polito

21%
21%
PolitoPolito+2
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
687 RV
Nov 9-16, 2021
687RVDowning
16%

Downing

16%

Polito

22%
22%
PolitoPolito+6
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
750 A
Nov 9-16, 2021
750ADowning
15%

Downing

15%

Polito

21%
21%
PolitoPolito+6
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
687 RV
Nov 9-16, 2021
687RVHealey
38%

Healey

38%

Polito

19%
19%
PolitoHealey+19
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
750 A
Nov 9-16, 2021
750AHealey
40%

Healey

40%

Polito

18%
18%
PolitoHealey+22
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
687 RV
Nov 9-16, 2021
687RVSilva
9%

Silva

9%

Baker

37%
37%
BakerBaker+28
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
750 A
Nov 9-16, 2021
750ASilva
9%

Silva

9%

Baker

36%
36%
BakerBaker+27
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
687 RV
Nov 9-16, 2021
687RVAllen
12%

Allen

12%

Baker

34%
34%
BakerBaker+22
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
750 A
Nov 9-16, 2021
750AAllen
12%

Allen

12%

Baker

33%
33%
BakerBaker+21
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
687 RV
Nov 9-16, 2021
687RVChang-Diaz
16%

Chang-Diaz

16%

Baker

36%
36%
BakerBaker+20
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
750 A
Nov 9-16, 2021
750AChang-Diaz
16%

Chang-Diaz

16%

Baker

35%
35%
BakerBaker+19
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
687 RV
Nov 9-16, 2021
687RVDowning
11%

Downing

11%

Baker

36%
36%
BakerBaker+25
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
750 A
Nov 9-16, 2021
750ADowning
11%

Downing

11%

Baker

35%
35%
BakerBaker+24
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
687 RV
Nov 9-16, 2021
687RVHealey
28%

Healey

28%

Baker

34%
34%
BakerBaker+6
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Nov 9-16, 2021
750 A
Nov 9-16, 2021
750AHealey
27%

Healey

27%

Baker

33%
33%
BakerBaker+6
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
756 RV
Mar 5-9, 2021
756RVChang-Diaz
17%

Chang-Diaz

17%

Baker

31%
31%
BakerBaker+14
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
800 A
Mar 5-9, 2021
800AChang-Diaz
16%

Chang-Diaz

16%

Baker

30%
30%
BakerBaker+14

March 14, 2021

Governor
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
756 RV
Mar 5-9, 2021
756RVAllen
14%

Allen

14%

Baker

31%
31%
BakerBaker+17
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
800 A
Mar 5-9, 2021
800AAllen
14%

Allen

14%

Baker

30%
30%
BakerBaker+16
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
756 RV
Mar 5-9, 2021
756RVDowning
12%

Downing

12%

Baker

31%
31%
BakerBaker+19
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
800 A
Mar 5-9, 2021
800ADowning
11%

Downing

11%

Baker

30%
30%
BakerBaker+19
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
756 RV
Mar 5-9, 2021
756RVKennedy
27%

Kennedy

27%

Baker

37%
37%
BakerBaker+10
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
800 A
Mar 5-9, 2021
800AKennedy
25%

Kennedy

25%

Baker

35%
35%
BakerBaker+10
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
756 RV
Mar 5-9, 2021
756RVHealey
28%

Healey

28%

Baker

31%
31%
BakerBaker+3
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Mar 5-9, 2021
800 A
Mar 5-9, 2021
800AHealey
27%

Healey

27%

Baker

30%
30%
BakerBaker+3

Oct. 31, 2018

Governor
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Oct 25-28, 2018
502 LV
Oct 25-28, 2018
502LVGonzalez
25%

Gonzalez

25%

Baker

68%
68%
BakerBaker+43

Oct. 30, 2018

Governor
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Oct 10-27, 2018
485 RV
Oct 10-27, 2018
485RVGonzalez
25%

Gonzalez

25%

Baker

64%
64%
BakerBaker+39
Governor
Mass. Mass.
Oct 10-27, 2018
402 LV
Oct 10-27, 2018
402LVGonzalez
27%

Gonzalez

27%

Baker

65%
65%
BakerBaker+38
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