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Who’s ahead in the Massachusetts governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending June 14, 2022

Governor, Massachusetts, 2022

1,000LV
Jun.7-15
1,000LV
Chang-Diaz
50%
Chang-Diaz
50%

Chang-Diaz

50%

Doughty

30%
30%
Doughty  Chang-Diaz+20
1,000LV
Jun.7-15
1,000LV
Chang-Diaz
54%
Chang-Diaz
54%

Chang-Diaz

54%

Diehl

29%
29%
Diehl  Chang-Diaz+25
1,000LV
Jun.7-15
1,000LV
Healey
58%
Healey
58%

Healey

58%

Doughty

30%
30%
Doughty  Healey+28
1,000LV
Jun.7-15
1,000LV
Healey
61%
Healey
61%

Healey

61%

Diehl

30%
30%
Diehl  Healey+31

May 3, 2022

Governor, Massachusetts, 2022

848RV
May 2-4
848RV
Chang-Diaz
41%
Chang-Diaz
41%

Chang-Diaz

41%

Doughty

33%
33%
Doughty  Chang-Diaz+7
848RV
May 2-4
848RV
Healey
54%
Healey
54%

Healey

54%

Doughty

31%
31%
Doughty  Healey+23
848RV
May 2-4
848RV
Chang-Diaz
47%
Chang-Diaz
47%

Chang-Diaz

47%

Diehl

32%
32%
Diehl  Chang-Diaz+14
848RV
May 2-4
848RV
Healey
59%
Healey
59%

Healey

59%

Diehl

31%
31%
Diehl  Healey+28

April 27, 2022

Governor, Massachusetts, 2022

765RV
Apr.24-28
765RV
Chang-Diaz
43%
Chang-Diaz
43%

Chang-Diaz

43%

Doughty

27%
27%
Doughty  Chang-Diaz+16
765RV
Apr.24-28
765RV
Chang-Diaz
45%
Chang-Diaz
45%

Chang-Diaz

45%

Diehl

29%
29%
Diehl  Chang-Diaz+16
765RV
Apr.24-28
765RV
Healey
55%
Healey
55%

Healey

55%

Doughty

25%
25%
Doughty  Healey+30
765RV
Apr.24-28
765RV
Healey
54%
Healey
54%

Healey

54%

Diehl

27%
27%
Diehl  Healey+27
765RV
Apr.24-28
765RV
Healey
28%
Healey
28%

Healey

28%

Baker

37%

Diehl

17%
37%
BakerBaker+9

Nov. 18, 2021

Governor, Massachusetts, 2022

789RV
Nov.15-19
789RV
Healey
26%
Healey
26%

Healey

26%

Baker

32%

Diehl

21%
32%
BakerBaker+6
789RV
Nov.15-19
789RV
Kennedy
30%
Kennedy
30%

Kennedy

30%

Baker

36%
36%
Baker  Baker+6
789RV
Nov.15-19
789RV
Healey
29%
Healey
29%

Healey

29%

Baker

33%
33%
Baker  Baker+4

Nov. 15, 2021

Governor, Massachusetts, 2022

687RV
Nov.9-16
687RV
Silva
14%
Silva
14%

Silva

14%

Polito

22%
22%
Polito  Polito+8
750A
Nov.9-16
750A
Silva
14%
Silva
14%

Silva

14%

Polito

21%
21%
Polito  Polito+7
687RV
Nov.9-16
687RV
Allen
17%
Allen
17%

Allen

17%

Polito

22%
22%
Polito  Polito+5
750A
Nov.9-16
750A
Allen
17%
Allen
17%

Allen

17%

Polito

21%
21%
Polito  Polito+4
687RV
Nov.9-16
687RV
Chang-Diaz
19%
Chang-Diaz
19%

Chang-Diaz

19%

Polito

23%
23%
Polito  Polito+4
750A
Nov.9-16
750A
Chang-Diaz
19%
Chang-Diaz
19%

Chang-Diaz

19%

Polito

21%
21%
Polito  Polito+2
687RV
Nov.9-16
687RV
Downing
16%
Downing
16%

Downing

16%

Polito

22%
22%
Polito  Polito+6
750A
Nov.9-16
750A
Downing
15%
Downing
15%

Downing

15%

Polito

21%
21%
Polito  Polito+6
687RV
Nov.9-16
687RV
Healey
38%
Healey
38%

Healey

38%

Polito

19%
19%
Polito  Healey+19
750A
Nov.9-16
750A
Healey
40%
Healey
40%

Healey

40%

Polito

18%
18%
Polito  Healey+22
687RV
Nov.9-16
687RV
Silva
9%
Silva
9%

Silva

9%

Baker

37%
37%
Baker  Baker+28
750A
Nov.9-16
750A
Silva
9%
Silva
9%

Silva

9%

Baker

36%
36%
Baker  Baker+27
687RV
Nov.9-16
687RV
Allen
12%
Allen
12%

Allen

12%

Baker

34%
34%
Baker  Baker+22
750A
Nov.9-16
750A
Allen
12%
Allen
12%

Allen

12%

Baker

33%
33%
Baker  Baker+21
687RV
Nov.9-16
687RV
Chang-Diaz
16%
Chang-Diaz
16%

Chang-Diaz

16%

Baker

36%
36%
Baker  Baker+20
750A
Nov.9-16
750A
Chang-Diaz
16%
Chang-Diaz
16%

Chang-Diaz

16%

Baker

35%
35%
Baker  Baker+19
687RV
Nov.9-16
687RV
Downing
11%
Downing
11%

Downing

11%

Baker

36%
36%
Baker  Baker+25
750A
Nov.9-16
750A
Downing
11%
Downing
11%

Downing

11%

Baker

35%
35%
Baker  Baker+24
687RV
Nov.9-16
687RV
Healey
28%
Healey
28%

Healey

28%

Baker

34%
34%
Baker  Baker+6
750A
Nov.9-16
750A
Healey
27%
Healey
27%

Healey

27%

Baker

33%
33%
Baker  Baker+6
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Candidate is an incumbent

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