UPDATED Sep. 27, 2022, at 8:10 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Massachusetts governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 12, 2022

Governor, Massachusetts, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Sep.10-13
500LV
Healey
52%
Healey
52%

Healey

52%

Diehl

26%

Reed

5%
26%
DiehlHealey+25

Sept. 7, 2022

Governor, Massachusetts, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

708LV
Sep.7-8
708LV
Healey
52%
Healey
52%

Healey

52%

Diehl

34%
34%
Diehl  Healey+18

July 22, 2022

Governor, Massachusetts, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Jul.20-23
500LV
Healey
54%
Healey
54%

Healey

54%

Doughty

22%
22%
Doughty  Healey+32
500LV
Jul.20-23
500LV
Healey
54%
Healey
54%

Healey

54%

Diehl

23%
23%
Diehl  Healey+31

June 14, 2022

Governor, Massachusetts, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Jun.7-15
1,000LV
Chang-Diaz
50%
Chang-Diaz
50%

Chang-Diaz

50%

Doughty

30%
30%
Doughty  Chang-Diaz+20
1,000LV
Jun.7-15
1,000LV
Chang-Diaz
54%
Chang-Diaz
54%

Chang-Diaz

54%

Diehl

29%
29%
Diehl  Chang-Diaz+25
1,000LV
Jun.7-15
1,000LV
Healey
58%
Healey
58%

Healey

58%

Doughty

30%
30%
Doughty  Healey+28
1,000LV
Jun.7-15
1,000LV
Healey
61%
Healey
61%

Healey

61%

Diehl

30%
30%
Diehl  Healey+31

May 3, 2022

Governor, Massachusetts, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

848RV
May 2-4
848RV
Chang-Diaz
41%
Chang-Diaz
41%

Chang-Diaz

41%

Doughty

33%
33%
Doughty  Chang-Diaz+7
848RV
May 2-4
848RV
Healey
54%
Healey
54%

Healey

54%

Doughty

31%
31%
Doughty  Healey+23
848RV
May 2-4
848RV
Chang-Diaz
47%
Chang-Diaz
47%

Chang-Diaz

47%

Diehl

32%
32%
Diehl  Chang-Diaz+14
848RV
May 2-4
848RV
Healey
59%
Healey
59%

Healey

59%

Diehl

31%
31%
Diehl  Healey+28
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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