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Who’s ahead in the Michigan governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Feb. 3, 2022

Governor, Michigan, 2022

632LV
Feb.1-4
632LV
Whitmer
44%
Whitmer
44%

Whitmer

44%

Craig

44%
44%
Craig  Whitmer+1

Jan. 19, 2022

Governor, Michigan, 2022

600LV
Jan.15-20
600LV
Whitmer
46%
Whitmer
46%

Whitmer

46%

Craig

41%
41%
Craig  Whitmer+5

Jan. 6, 2022

Governor, Michigan, 2022

600LV
Jan.3-7
600LV
Whitmer
50%
Whitmer
50%

Whitmer

50%

Dixon

31%
31%
Dixon  Whitmer+19
600LV
Jan.3-7
600LV
Whitmer
50%
Whitmer
50%

Whitmer

50%

Rinke

33%
33%
Rinke  Whitmer+17
600LV
Jan.3-7
600LV
Whitmer
50%
Whitmer
50%

Whitmer

50%

Soldano

33%
33%
Soldano  Whitmer+16
600LV
Jan.3-7
600LV
Whitmer
49%
Whitmer
49%

Whitmer

49%

Craig

39%
39%
Craig  Whitmer+10

Jan. 5, 2022

Governor, Michigan, 2022

800LV
Jan.4-6
800LV
Whitmer
46%
Whitmer
46%

Whitmer

46%

Craig

46%
46%
Craig  Even

Sept. 18, 2021

Governor, Michigan, 2022

600LV
Sep.18-19
600LV
Whitmer
47%
Whitmer
47%

Whitmer

47%

Craig

46%
46%
Craig  Whitmer+1
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