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Who’s ahead in the Missouri governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Missouri, 2020

1,010LV
Oct.28-29
1,010LV
Galloway
44%
Galloway
44%

Galloway

44%

Parson

50%

Combs

2%

Bauer

1%
50%
ParsonParson+6
600LV
Oct.18-20
600LV
Galloway
42%
Galloway
42%

Galloway

42%

Parson

48%

Combs

2%

Bauer

1%
48%
ParsonParson+7
1,010LV
Oct.14-15
1,010LV
Galloway
43%
Galloway
43%

Galloway

43%

Parson

51%

Combs

2%

Bauer

1%
51%
ParsonParson+8
931LV
Sep.24-Oct.7
931LV
Galloway
44%
Galloway
44%

Galloway

44%

Parson

50%
50%
Parson  Parson+6
600LV
Sep.28-Oct.2
600LV
Galloway
48%
Galloway
48%

Galloway

48%

Parson

50%
50%
Parson  Parson+2
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Candidate is an incumbent

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