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Who’s ahead in the Montana governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Montana, 2020

920LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
920LV
Cooney
44%
Cooney
44%

Cooney

44%

Gianforte

48%

Bishop

3%
48%
GianforteGianforte+4
546LV
Oct.19-24
546LV
Cooney
45%
Cooney
45%

Cooney

45%

Gianforte

45%

Bishop

2%
45%
GianforteEven
758LV
Oct.18-20
758LV
Cooney
44%
Cooney
44%

Cooney

44%

Gianforte

48%

Bishop

4%
48%
GianforteGianforte+4
500LV
Oct.15-20
500LV
Cooney
41%
Cooney
41%

Cooney

41%

Gianforte

48%

Bishop

4%
48%
GianforteGianforte+7
800LV
Oct.15-18
800LV
Cooney
45%
Cooney
45%

Cooney

45%

Gianforte

48%
48%
Gianforte  Gianforte+3
500LV
Oct.5-7
500LV
Cooney
41%
Cooney
41%

Cooney

41%

Gianforte

54%
54%
Gianforte  Gianforte+12
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