We are no longer adding polls or updating averages for Nov. 3, 2020, races. Visit our unresolved races live blog to follow along as the remaining results come in!

UPDATED Dec. 2, 2020, at 8:46 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Montana?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
920 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
920LVCooney
44%

Cooney

44%

Gianforte

48%

Bishop

3%
MoreGianforte+4

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 28, 2020

Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 19-24, 2020
546 LV
Oct 19-24, 2020
546LVCooney
45%
Tie

Cooney

45%

Gianforte

45%

Bishop

2%
MoreEven

Oct. 25, 2020

Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 15-18, 2020
800 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
800LVCooney
45%

Cooney

45%

Gianforte

48%
48%
GianforteGianforte+3

Oct. 23, 2020

Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 18-20, 2020
758 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
758LVCooney
44%

Cooney

44%

Gianforte

48%

Bishop

4%
MoreGianforte+4

Oct. 22, 2020

Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 15-20, 2020
500 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
500LVCooney
41%

Cooney

41%

Gianforte

48%

Bishop

4%
MoreGianforte+7
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