See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 27, 2020, at 7:07 PM

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Who’s ahead in Montana?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 25, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 15-18, 2020
800 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
800LVCooney
45%

Cooney

45%

Gianforte

48%
48%
GianforteGianforte+3

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 23, 2020

Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 18-20, 2020
758 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
758LVCooney
44%

Cooney

44%

Gianforte

48%

Bishop

4%
MoreGianforte+4

Oct. 22, 2020

Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 15-20, 2020
500 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
500LVCooney
41%

Cooney

41%

Gianforte

48%

Bishop

4%
MoreGianforte+7

Oct. 14, 2020

Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Sep 14-Oct 2, 2020
1,615 LV
Sep 14-Oct 2, 2020
1,615LVCooney
42%

Cooney

42%

Gianforte

47%
47%
GianforteGianforte+5

Oct. 7, 2020

Governor
Governor
Mont.Mont.
Oct 5-7, 2020
500 LV
Oct 5-7, 2020
500LVCooney
41%

Cooney

41%

Gianforte

54%
54%
GianforteGianforte+12
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