UPDATED Oct. 6, 2022, at 4:13 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Nevada governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 1, 2022

Governor, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

926RV
Sep.26-Oct.2
926RV
Sisolak
46%
Sisolak
46%

Sisolak

46%

Lombardo

46%
46%
Lombardo  Even
828LV
Sep.26-Oct.2
828LV
Sisolak
46%
Sisolak
46%

Sisolak

46%

Lombardo

48%
48%
Lombardo  Lombardo+2

Sept. 28, 2022

Governor, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

741LV
Sep.20-29
741LV
Sisolak
42%
Sisolak
42%

Sisolak

42%

Lombardo

45%

Davis

2%

Bridges

1%
45%
LombardoLombardo+3

Sept. 19, 2022

Governor, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,086LV
Sep.17-20
1,086LV
Sisolak
45%
Sisolak
45%

Sisolak

45%

Lombardo

48%

Davis

4%
48%
LombardoLombardo+3

Sept. 18, 2022

Governor, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

874LV
Sep.14-19
874LV
Sisolak
45%
Sisolak
45%

Sisolak

45%

Lombardo

45%

Davis

4%

Bridges

3%
45%
LombardoEven

Sept. 9, 2022

Governor, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Sep.8-10
1,000LV
Sisolak
40%
Sisolak
40%

Sisolak

40%

Lombardo

40%
40%
Lombardo  Even
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

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