UPDATED Dec. 14, 2021, at 7:47 PM

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Who’s ahead in Nevada?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Nev. Nev.
Dec 1-7, 2021
800 LV
Dec 1-7, 2021
800LVSisolak
47%

Sisolak

47%

Heller

44%
44%
HellerSisolak+3
Governor
Nev. Nev.
Dec 1-7, 2021
800 LV
Dec 1-7, 2021
800LVSisolak
47%

Sisolak

47%

Lombardo

45%
45%
LombardoSisolak+2
Governor
Nev. Nev.
Nov 16-18, 2021
600 LV
Nov 16-18, 2021
600LVSisolak
43%

Sisolak

43%

Heller

49%
49%
HellerHeller+6
Governor
Nev. Nev.
Nov 16-18, 2021
600 LV
Nov 16-18, 2021
600LVSisolak
41%

Sisolak

41%

Lombardo

51%
51%
LombardoLombardo+10

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Dec. 7, 2021

Governor
Governor
Nev. Nev.
Nov 24-29, 2021
1,034 LV
Nov 24-29, 2021
1,034LVSisolak
40%

Sisolak

40%

Heller

47%
47%
HellerHeller+7

Oct. 2, 2021

Governor
Governor
Nev. Nev.
Sep 15-22, 2021
600 LV
Sep 15-22, 2021
600LVSisolak
45%

Sisolak

45%

Lombardo

44%
44%
LombardoSisolak+1
Governor
Nev. Nev.
Sep 15-22, 2021
600 LV
Sep 15-22, 2021
600LVSisolak
46%

Sisolak

46%

Heller

43%
43%
HellerSisolak+3

Nov. 5, 2018

Governor
Governor
Nev. Nev.
Nov 3-5, 2018
600 LV
Nov 3-5, 2018
600LVSisolak
45%

Sisolak

45%

Laxalt

44%
44%
LaxaltEven

Nov. 4, 2018

Governor
Governor
Nev. Nev.
Nov 1-4, 2018
1,197 LV
Nov 1-4, 2018
1,197LVSisolak
48%

Sisolak

48%

Laxalt

47%
47%
LaxaltSisolak+1
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