UPDATED Sep. 23, 2022, at 4:08 PM

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Who’s ahead in the New Jersey governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, New Jersey, 2021

450LV
Oct.31-Nov.1
450LV
Murphy
50%
Murphy
50%

Murphy

50%

Ciattarelli

44%
44%
Ciattarelli  Murphy+6
1,085LV
Oct.29-31
1,085LV
Murphy
49%
Murphy
49%

Murphy

49%

Ciattarelli

45%
45%
Ciattarelli  Murphy+4
823RV
Oct.23-28
823RV
Murphy
53%
Murphy
53%

Murphy

53%

Ciattarelli

44%
44%
Ciattarelli  Murphy+9
901RV
Oct.21-27
901RV
Murphy
50%
Murphy
50%

Murphy

50%

Ciattarelli

42%
42%
Ciattarelli  Murphy+8
522LV
Oct.17-26
522LV
Murphy
50%
Murphy
50%

Murphy

50%

Ciattarelli

41%
41%
Ciattarelli  Murphy+9
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