UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Who’s ahead in New York?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added July 8, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
N.Y. N.Y.
Jul 12-16, 2018
934 RV
Jul 12-16, 2018
934RVCuomo
43%

Cuomo

43%

Molinaro

23%

Nixon

13%

Sharpe

3%

Hawkins

2%

Miner

1%
MoreCuomo+20

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

March 18, 2021

Governor
Governor
N.Y. N.Y.
Sep 20-27, 2018
701 LV
Sep 20-27, 2018
701LVCuomo
50%

Cuomo

50%

Molinaro

28%

Sharpe

2%

Hawkins

1%

Miner

1%
MoreCuomo+22

Feb. 8, 2021

Governor
Governor
N.Y. N.Y.
Feb 3-5, 2021
810 LV
Feb 3-5, 2021
810LVOcasio-Cortez
50%

Ocasio-Cortez

50%

Stefanik

42%
42%
StefanikOcasio-Cortez+8
Governor
N.Y. N.Y.
Feb 3-5, 2021
810 LV
Feb 3-5, 2021
810LVCuomo
51%

Cuomo

51%

Stefanik

39%
39%
StefanikCuomo+12

Nov. 3, 2018

Governor
Governor
N.Y. N.Y.
Nov 1-3, 2018
450 RV
Nov 1-3, 2018
450RVCuomo
54%

Cuomo

54%

Molinaro

37%
37%
MolinaroCuomo+17
Governor
N.Y. N.Y.
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2018
641 LV
Oct 28-Nov 1, 2018
641LVCuomo
49%

Cuomo

49%

Molinaro

36%

Sharpe

3%

Miner

2%

Hawkins

2%
MoreCuomo+13

Oct. 17, 2018

Governor
Governor
N.Y. N.Y.
Oct 10-16, 2018
852 LV
Oct 10-16, 2018
852LVCuomo
58%

Cuomo

58%

Molinaro

35%
35%
MolinaroCuomo+23
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