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Who’s ahead in the North Carolina governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 7, 2022

Governor, North Carolina, 2024

Oct.7-8
Stein
44%
Stein
44%

Stein

44%

Robinson

42%
42%
Robinson  Stein+2

May 15, 2022

Governor, North Carolina, 2024

500RV
May 12-16
500RV
Stein
42%
Stein
42%

Stein

42%

Robinson

48%
48%
Robinson  Robinson+6

Nov. 1, 2020

Governor, North Carolina, 2020

655LV
Oct.27-Nov.2
655LV
Cooper
55%
Cooper
55%

Cooper

55%

Forest

42%

DiFiore

2%

Pisano

0%
42%
ForestCooper+13

Oct. 30, 2020

Governor, North Carolina, 2020

676LV
Oct.30-31
676LV
Cooper
52%
Cooper
52%

Cooper

52%

Forest

45%

DiFiore

2%

Pisano

0%
45%
ForestCooper+7
855LV
Oct.29-31
855LV
Cooper
55%
Cooper
55%

Cooper

55%

Forest

45%
45%
Forest  Cooper+10

Oct. 29, 2020

Governor, North Carolina, 2020

932RV
Oct.23-30
932RV
Cooper
51%
Cooper
51%

Cooper

51%

Forest

41%

DiFiore

3%

Pisano

2%
41%
ForestCooper+10
901LV
Oct.23-30
901LV
Cooper
52%
Cooper
52%

Cooper

52%

Forest

42%

DiFiore

3%

Pisano

1%
42%
ForestCooper+10
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