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Who’s ahead in the Ohio governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 6, 2022

Governor, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

716LV
Nov.4-7
716LV
Whaley
39%
Whaley
39%

Whaley

39%

DeWine

53%
53%
DeWine  DeWine+14

Nov. 5, 2022

Governor, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

450LV
Nov.4-6
450LV
Whaley
39%
Whaley
39%

Whaley

39%

DeWine

61%
61%
DeWine  DeWine+22
505LV
Nov.2-6
505LV
Whaley
32%
Whaley
32%

Whaley

32%

DeWine

62%
62%
DeWine  DeWine+30
814RV
Nov.2-6
814RV
Whaley
30%
Whaley
30%

Whaley

30%

DeWine

57%
57%
DeWine  DeWine+27

Nov. 4, 2022

Governor, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,123LV
Nov.3-5
1,123LV
Whaley
34%
Whaley
34%

Whaley

34%

DeWine

59%
59%
DeWine  DeWine+25
1,413LV
Nov.2-5
1,413LV
Whaley
38%
Whaley
38%

Whaley

38%

DeWine

62%
62%
DeWine  DeWine+24
248LV
Aug.7-Nov.5
248LV
Whaley
42%
Whaley
42%

Whaley

42%

DeWine

58%
58%
DeWine  DeWine+16

Nov. 2, 2022

Governor, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,498LV
Nov.1-3
1,498LV
Whaley
37%
Whaley
37%

Whaley

37%

DeWine

56%
56%
DeWine  DeWine+19

Nov. 1, 2022

Governor, Ohio, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,125LV
Nov.1-2
1,125LV
Whaley
35%
Whaley
35%

Whaley

35%

DeWine

58%
58%
DeWine  DeWine+23
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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