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Who’s ahead in the Ohio governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Jan. 3, 2022

Governor, Ohio, 2022

1,574LV
Jan.4
1,574LV
Cranley
49%
Cranley
49%

Cranley

49%

DeWine

51%
51%
DeWine  DeWine+2
1,574LV
Jan.4
1,574LV
Cranley
49%
Cranley
49%

Cranley

49%

Blystone

51%
51%
Blystone  Blystone+2
1,574LV
Jan.4
1,574LV
Cranley
48%
Cranley
48%

Cranley

48%

Taylor

52%
52%
Taylor  Taylor+4
1,574LV
Jan.4
1,574LV
Cranley
45%
Cranley
45%

Cranley

45%

Renacci

55%
55%
Renacci  Renacci+10

Aug. 23, 2021

Governor, Ohio, 2022

1,200LV
Aug.20-24
1,200LV
Cranley
25%
Cranley
25%

Cranley

25%

DeWine

47%
47%
DeWine  DeWine+22
1,200LV
Aug.20-24
1,200LV
Whaley
27%
Whaley
27%

Whaley

27%

DeWine

46%
46%
DeWine  DeWine+19
1,200RV
Aug.20-24
1,200RV
Cranley
24%
Cranley
24%

Cranley

24%

DeWine

44%
44%
DeWine  DeWine+20
1,200RV
Aug.20-24
1,200RV
Whaley
25%
Whaley
25%

Whaley

25%

DeWine

44%
44%
DeWine  DeWine+19

Nov. 3, 2018

Governor, Ohio, 2018

1,948LV
Nov.2-4
1,948LV
Cordray
46%
Cordray
46%

Cordray

46%

DeWine

42%
42%
DeWine  Cordray+4
923LV
Nov.2-4
923LV
Cordray
48%
Cordray
48%

Cordray

48%

DeWine

43%

Irvine

5%

Gadell Newton

1%
43%
DeWineCordray+5

Nov. 2, 2018

Governor, Ohio, 2018

450RV
Nov.1-3
450RV
Cordray
44%
Cordray
44%

Cordray

44%

DeWine

44%
44%
DeWine  Even

Oct. 30, 2018

Governor, Ohio, 2018

503LV
Oct.30-31
503LV
Cordray
43%
Cordray
43%

Cordray

43%

DeWine

43%

Irvine

3%

Gadell Newton

2%
43%
DeWineEven
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