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Who’s ahead in the South Dakota governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, South Dakota, 2018

851LV
Nov.2-4
851LV
Sutton
51%
Sutton
51%

Sutton

51%

Noem

45%

Evans

2%
45%
NoemSutton+6
514LV
Nov.1-4
514LV
Sutton
47%
Sutton
47%

Sutton

47%

Noem

48%
48%
Noem  Noem+1
500LV
Oct.29-31
500LV
Sutton
44%
Sutton
44%

Sutton

44%

Noem

47%

Evans

1%
47%
NoemNoem+3
500LV
Oct.18-22
500LV
Sutton
45%
Sutton
45%

Sutton

45%

Noem

45%

Evans

1%
45%
NoemEven
500LV
Sep.20-24
500LV
Sutton
45%
Sutton
45%

Sutton

45%

Noem

42%

Evans

3%
42%
NoemSutton+3
500V
Jul.19-25
500V
Sutton
42%
Sutton
42%

Sutton

42%

Noem

46%
46%
Noem  Noem+4
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Candidate is an incumbent

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