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Who’s ahead in the Tennessee governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 20, 2022

Governor, Tennessee, 2022

549LV
Oct.20-21
549LV
Martin
28%
Martin
28%

Martin

28%

Lee

52%
52%
Lee  Lee+24

Oct. 30, 2018

Governor, Tennessee, 2018

480LV
Oct.28-31
480LV
Dean
44%
Dean
44%

Dean

44%

Lee

53%
53%
Lee  Lee+9

Oct. 29, 2018

Governor, Tennessee, 2018

632LV
Oct.28-30
632LV
Dean
41%
Dean
41%

Dean

41%

Lee

54%
54%
Lee  Lee+13
850RV
Oct.27-30
850RV
Dean
36%
Dean
36%

Dean

36%

Lee

52%
52%
Lee  Lee+16
718LV
Oct.27-30
718LV
Dean
37%
Dean
37%

Dean

37%

Lee

54%
54%
Lee  Lee+17

Oct. 28, 2018

Governor, Tennessee, 2018

780LV
Oct.27-29
780LV
Dean
44%
Dean
44%

Dean

44%

Lee

56%
56%
Lee  Lee+12
764LV
Oct.24-29
764LV
Dean
42%
Dean
42%

Dean

42%

Lee

52%
52%
Lee  Lee+10
871RV
Oct.24-29
871RV
Dean
41%
Dean
41%

Dean

41%

Lee

52%
52%
Lee  Lee+11
495LV
Oct.22-29
495LV
Dean
36%
Dean
36%

Dean

36%

Lee

48%
48%
Lee  Lee+12

Oct. 26, 2018

Governor, Tennessee, 2018

497LV
Oct.26-27
497LV
Dean
36%
Dean
36%

Dean

36%

Lee

59%
59%
Lee  Lee+22
764RV
Oct.23-27
764RV
Dean
39%
Dean
39%

Dean

39%

Lee

56%
56%
Lee  Lee+17
471LV
Oct.23-27
471LV
Dean
40%
Dean
40%

Dean

40%

Lee

57%
57%
Lee  Lee+17
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