Our polling average for the 2021 Virginia governor’s race is final and no longer updating.

UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 1:20 PM

Latest Polls

Looking for our forecast? Click me!

Fivey holding a U.S. flag
2022 Logo
Recent polling average updates
Filter by poll type or state

Who’s ahead in the Virginia governor’s race?

An updating average for each candidate, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Virginia, 2021
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

450LV
Oct.31-Nov.1
450LV
McAuliffe
47%
McAuliffe
47%

McAuliffe

47%

Youngkin

48%

Blanding

2%
48%
YoungkinYoungkin+1
747LV
Oct.26-Nov.1
747LV
McAuliffe
50%
McAuliffe
50%

McAuliffe

50%

Youngkin

47%
47%
Youngkin  McAuliffe+3
1,081LV
Oct.29-31
1,081LV
McAuliffe
47%
McAuliffe
47%

McAuliffe

47%

Youngkin

49%
49%
Youngkin  Youngkin+2
500LV
Oct.27-30
500LV
McAuliffe
45%
McAuliffe
45%

McAuliffe

45%

Youngkin

47%

Blanding

2%
47%
YoungkinYoungkin+2
611LV
Oct.27-29
611LV
McAuliffe
46%
McAuliffe
46%

McAuliffe

46%

Youngkin

49%

Blanding

2%
49%
YoungkinYoungkin+3
571LV
Oct.14-28
571LV
McAuliffe
48%
McAuliffe
48%

McAuliffe

48%

Youngkin

47%

Blanding

1%
47%
YoungkinMcAuliffe+1
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download