UPDATED Mar. 2, 2021, at 10:54 AM

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Who’s ahead in Washington?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Wash.Wash.
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
474 LV
Oct 23-Nov 1, 2020
474LVInslee
59%

Inslee

59%

Culp

41%
41%
CulpInslee+18

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 20, 2020

Governor
Governor
Wash.Wash.
Oct 14-15, 2020
610 LV
Oct 14-15, 2020
610LVInslee
56%

Inslee

56%

Culp

40%
40%
CulpInslee+16

Oct. 12, 2020

Governor
Governor
Wash.Wash.
Oct 8-12, 2020
591 LV
Oct 8-12, 2020
591LVInslee
54%

Inslee

54%

Culp

40%
40%
CulpInslee+14

Sept. 22, 2020

Governor
Governor
Wash.Wash.
Sep 8-14, 2020
501 RV
Sep 8-14, 2020
501RVInslee
53%

Inslee

53%

Culp

37%
37%
CulpInslee+16

July 28, 2020

Governor
Governor
Wash.Wash.
Jul 22-27, 2020
534 LV
Jul 22-27, 2020
534LVInslee
60%

Inslee

60%

Freed

31%
31%
FreedInslee+29
Governor
Wash.Wash.
Jul 22-27, 2020
534 LV
Jul 22-27, 2020
534LVInslee
61%

Inslee

61%

Fortunato

32%
32%
FortunatoInslee+29
Governor
Wash.Wash.
Jul 22-27, 2020
534 LV
Jul 22-27, 2020
534LVInslee
61%

Inslee

61%

Culp

32%
32%
CulpInslee+29
Governor
Wash.Wash.
Jul 22-27, 2020
534 LV
Jul 22-27, 2020
534LVInslee
60%

Inslee

60%

Garcia

32%
32%
GarciaInslee+28
Governor
Wash.Wash.
Jul 22-27, 2020
534 LV
Jul 22-27, 2020
534LVInslee
62%

Inslee

62%

Eyman

31%
31%
EymanInslee+31
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