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Who’s ahead in the Washington governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Washington, 2020

474LV
Oct.23-Nov.1
474LV
Inslee
59%
Inslee
59%

Inslee

59%

Culp

41%
41%
Culp  Inslee+18
610LV
Oct.14-15
610LV
Inslee
56%
Inslee
56%

Inslee

56%

Culp

40%
40%
Culp  Inslee+16
591LV
Oct.8-12
591LV
Inslee
54%
Inslee
54%

Inslee

54%

Culp

40%
40%
Culp  Inslee+14
501RV
Sep.8-14
501RV
Inslee
53%
Inslee
53%

Inslee

53%

Culp

37%
37%
Culp  Inslee+16
534LV
Jul.22-27
534LV
Inslee
60%
Inslee
60%

Inslee

60%

Freed

31%
31%
Freed  Inslee+29
534LV
Jul.22-27
534LV
Inslee
61%
Inslee
61%

Inslee

61%

Fortunato

32%
32%
Fortunato  Inslee+29
534LV
Jul.22-27
534LV
Inslee
61%
Inslee
61%

Inslee

61%

Culp

32%
32%
Culp  Inslee+29
534LV
Jul.22-27
534LV
Inslee
60%
Inslee
60%

Inslee

60%

Garcia

32%
32%
Garcia  Inslee+28
534LV
Jul.22-27
534LV
Inslee
62%
Inslee
62%

Inslee

62%

Eyman

31%
31%
Eyman  Inslee+31
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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