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Who’s ahead in the Wisconsin governor race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending June 19, 2022

Governor, Wisconsin, 2022

803RV
Jun.14-20
803RV
Evers
51%
Evers
51%

Evers

51%

Ramthun

34%
34%
Ramthun  Evers+17
803RV
Jun.14-20
803RV
Evers
48%
Evers
48%

Evers

48%

Nicholson

40%
40%
Nicholson  Evers+8
803RV
Jun.14-20
803RV
Evers
48%
Evers
48%

Evers

48%

Michels

41%
41%
Michels  Evers+7
803RV
Jun.14-20
803RV
Evers
47%
Evers
47%

Evers

47%

Kleefisch

43%
43%
Kleefisch  Evers+4

Aug. 23, 2021

Governor, Wisconsin, 2022

730LV
Aug.20-24
730LV
Evers
41%
Evers
41%

Evers

41%

Kleefisch

41%
41%
Kleefisch  Even
730LV
Aug.20-24
730LV
Evers
43%
Evers
43%

Evers

43%

Wichmann

36%
36%
Wichmann  Evers+7
730RV
Aug.20-24
730RV
Evers
39%
Evers
39%

Evers

39%

Kleefisch

38%
38%
Kleefisch  Evers+1
730RV
Aug.20-24
730RV
Evers
41%
Evers
41%

Evers

41%

Wichmann

34%
34%
Wichmann  Evers+7

March 26, 2021

Governor, Wisconsin, 2022

1,723LV
Mar.25-27
1,723LV
Evers
48%
Evers
48%

Evers

48%

Kleefisch

43%
43%
Kleefisch  Evers+5

Nov. 2, 2018

Governor, Wisconsin, 2018

450RV
Nov.1-3
450RV
Evers
45%
Evers
45%

Evers

45%

Walker

44%
44%
Walker  Evers+1

Oct. 30, 2018

Governor, Wisconsin, 2018

604LV
Oct.29-31
604LV
Evers
51%
Evers
51%

Evers

51%

Walker

46%
46%
Walker  Evers+5
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