See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 3, 2020, at 6:38 PM

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Who’s ahead in Hawaii?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 18, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
HawaiiHawaii
Oct 8-12, 2018
961 LV
Oct 8-12, 2018
961LVIge
52%

Ige

52%

Tupola

31%
31%
TupolaIge+21

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 7, 2018

Governor
Governor
HawaiiHawaii
Jul 6-11, 2018
800 RV
Jul 6-11, 2018
800RVIge
57%

Ige

57%

Tupola

34%
34%
TupolaIge+23

March 18, 2018

Governor
Governor
HawaiiHawaii
Mar 13-18, 2018
800 RV
Mar 13-18, 2018
800RVIge
51%

Ige

51%

Tupola

24%
24%
TupolaIge+27

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