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UPDATED Nov. 25, 2020, at 2:34 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Hawaii?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Hawaii
Hawaii
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
619 LV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
619LVBiden
66%

Biden

66%

Trump

31%
31%
TrumpBiden+35
President: general election Hawaii
Hawaii
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
619 RV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
619RVBiden
65%

Biden

65%

Trump

31%
31%
TrumpBiden+34

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 20, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Hawaii
Hawaii
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
1,013 LV
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
1,013LVBiden
66%

Biden

66%

Trump

32%
32%
TrumpBiden+34
President: general election Hawaii
Hawaii
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
1,013 RV
Sep 22-Oct 19, 2020
1,013RVBiden
65%

Biden

65%

Trump

32%
32%
TrumpBiden+33

Oct. 16, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Hawaii
Hawaii
Oct 2-7, 2020
988 RV
Oct 2-7, 2020
988RVBiden
61%

Biden

61%

Trump

28%
28%
TrumpBiden+33

Oct. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Hawaii
Hawaii
Aug 1-31, 2020
362 RV
Aug 1-31, 2020
362RVBiden
59%

Biden

59%

Trump

37%
37%
TrumpBiden+22
President: general election Hawaii
Hawaii
Aug 1-31, 2020
362 LV
Aug 1-31, 2020
362LVBiden
61%

Biden

61%

Trump

37%
37%
TrumpBiden+24
President: general election Hawaii
Hawaii
Jul 1-31, 2020
356 RV
Jul 1-31, 2020
356RVBiden
60%

Biden

60%

Trump

38%
38%
TrumpBiden+22
President: general election Hawaii
Hawaii
Jul 1-31, 2020
356 LV
Jul 1-31, 2020
356LVBiden
62%

Biden

62%

Trump

37%
37%
TrumpBiden+25
President: general election Hawaii
Hawaii
Jun 8-30, 2020
207 RV
Jun 8-30, 2020
207RVBiden
66%

Biden

66%

Trump

31%
31%
TrumpBiden+35
President: general election Hawaii
Hawaii
Jun 8-30, 2020
207 LV
Jun 8-30, 2020
207LVBiden
67%

Biden

67%

Trump

30%
30%
TrumpBiden+36

Aug. 5, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Hawaii
Hawaii
Jul 27-30, 2020
975 RV
Jul 27-30, 2020
975RVBiden
56%

Biden

56%

Trump

29%
29%
TrumpBiden+27
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