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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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Datesi

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VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

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Polls ending Nov. 3, 2024

U.S. House, PR-1, 2024, General election

Nov. 1-4
4,914LV
Nov. 1-4
4,914LV
Hernández
41%
Hernández
41%

Hernández

41%

Villafañe

34%

Lassén

17%

Ramírez-Morales

5%

Correa

1%
34%
VillafañeHernández+7

Nov. 2, 2024

U.S. House, NH-2, 2024, General election

Nov. 1-3
329LV
Nov. 1-3
329LV
Goodlander
64%
Goodlander
64%

Goodlander

64%

Williams

34%
34%
Williams  Goodlander+30

U.S. House, NH-1, 2024, General election

Nov. 1-3
253LV
Nov. 1-3
253LV
Pappas
62%
Pappas
62%

Pappas

62%

Prescott

34%
34%
Prescott  Pappas+28

U.S. House, IL-17, 2024, General election

Nov. 1-3
753LV
Nov. 1-3
753LV
Sorensen
52%
Sorensen
52%

Sorensen

52%

McGraw

47%
47%
McGraw  Sorensen+6

Nov. 1, 2024

U.S. House, VT-1, 2024, General election

Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,167LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,167LV
Balint
62%
Balint
62%

Balint

62%

Coester

22%

Diamondstone

1%

Ortiz

0%
22%
CoesterBalint+40

U.S. House, ME-2, 2024, General election

Oct. 29-Nov. 2
683LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
683LV
Golden
45%
Golden
45%

Golden

45%

Theriault

44%
44%
Theriault  Golden+1

U.S. House, ME-1, 2024, General election

Oct. 29-Nov. 2
801LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
801LV
Pingree
56%
Pingree
56%

Pingree

56%

Russell

28%

Alcorn

4%
28%
RussellPingree+28

U.S. House, NH-2, 2024, General election

Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,359LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,359LV
Goodlander
53%
Goodlander
53%

Goodlander

53%

Williams

39%
39%
Williams  Goodlander+14

U.S. House, NH-1, 2024, General election

Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,433LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,433LV
Pappas
51%
Pappas
51%

Pappas

51%

Prescott

39%
39%
Prescott  Pappas+12

Oct. 31, 2024

U.S. House, PR-1, 2024, General election

Oct. 29-Nov. 1
1,000LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 1
1,000LV
Villafañe
38%
Villafañe
38%

Villafañe

38%

Hernández

37%

Lassén

15%

Ramírez-Morales

6%
37%
HernándezVillafañe+1
Oct. 21-Nov. 1
A
Oct. 21-Nov. 1
A
Hernández
38%
Hernández
38%

Hernández

38%

Villafañe

34%

Lassén

17%

Ramírez-Morales

8%

Correa

1%
34%
VillafañeHernández+4

U.S. House, VI-1, 2024, General election

Oct. 21-Nov. 1
A
Oct. 21-Nov. 1
A
Plaskett
72%
Plaskett
72%

Plaskett

72%

Pickard

7%
7%
Pickard  Plaskett+65

Oct. 30, 2024

U.S. House, CA-49, 2024, General election

Oct. 25-31
574LV
Oct. 25-31
574LV
Levin
51%
Levin
51%

Levin

51%

Gunderson

38%
38%
Gunderson  Levin+13
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