See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 3, 2020, at 6:38 PM

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
UT-4UT-4
Jul 27-Aug 1, 2020
800 RV
Jul 27-Aug 1, 2020
800RVMcAdams
35%
Tie

McAdams

35%

Owens

35%

Molnar

4%

Broderick

2%
MoreEven
U.S. House
IA-2IA-2
Jul 26-28, 2020
406 LV
Jul 26-28, 2020
406LVHart
41%

Hart

41%

Miller-Meeks

41%
41%
Miller-MeeksEven

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

July 31, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-4CA-4
Jul 22-25, 2020
650 LV
Jul 22-25, 2020
650LVKennedy
42%

Kennedy

42%

McClintock

45%
45%
McClintockMcClintock+3
U.S. House
CA-4CA-4
Apr 26-May 4, 2020
2,196 LV
Apr 26-May 4, 2020
2,196LVKennedy
40%

Kennedy

40%

McClintock

46%
46%
McClintockMcClintock+6

July 30, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
MN-1MN-1
Jul 19-23, 2020
511 LV
Jul 19-23, 2020
511LVFeehan
48%

Feehan

48%

Hagedorn

46%
46%
HagedornFeehan+2
U.S. House
MI-2MI-2
Jul 8-11, 2020
400 LV
Jul 8-11, 2020
400LVBerghoef
32%

Berghoef

32%

Huizenga

49%
49%
HuizengaHuizenga+17

July 29, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
TX-22TX-22
Jul 19-22, 2020
400 RV
Jul 19-22, 2020
400RVKulkarni
32%

Kulkarni

32%

Nehls

44%

LeBlanc

5%
MoreNehls+12
U.S. House
MN-2MN-2
Jul 6-8, 2020
401 LV
Jul 6-8, 2020
401LVCraig
45%

Craig

45%

Kistner

36%

Weeks

6%
MoreCraig+9

July 28, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
ME-2ME-2
Jul 18-24, 2020
447 LV
Jul 18-24, 2020
447LVGolden
45%

Golden

45%

Crafts

33%
33%
CraftsGolden+12
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