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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 9, 2022

U.S. House, NE-2, 2022

564LV
May 6-10
564LV
Vargas
42%
Vargas
42%

Vargas

42%

Bacon

39%
39%
Bacon  Vargas+3

May 8, 2022

U.S. House, AK-1, 2022

605LV
May 6-9
605LV
Gross
47%
Gross
47%

Gross

47%

Begich

53%
53%
Begich  Begich+6
605LV
May 6-9
605LV
Gross
40%
Gross
40%

Gross

40%

Begich

32%

Palin

28%
32%
BegichGross+8
605LV
May 6-9
605LV
Gross
26%
Gross
26%

Gross

26%

Begich

28%

Palin

25%

Claus

21%
28%
BegichBegich+2
605LV
May 6-9
605LV
Gross
46%
Gross
46%

Gross

46%

Begich

54%
54%
Begich  Begich+8
605LV
May 6-9
605LV
Gross
40%
Gross
40%

Gross

40%

Begich

33%

Palin

28%
33%
BegichGross+7
605LV
May 6-9
605LV
Gross
27%
Gross
27%

Gross

27%

Begich

29%

Palin

26%

Peltola

19%
29%
BegichBegich+2
605LV
May 6-9
605LV
Gross
46%
Gross
46%

Gross

46%

Begich

54%
54%
Begich  Begich+8
605LV
May 6-9
605LV
Gross
40%
Gross
40%

Gross

40%

Begich

32%

Palin

28%
32%
BegichGross+8
605LV
May 6-9
605LV
Begich
29%
Begich
29%

Begich

29%

Palin

28%

Gross

27%

Constant

17%
28%
PalinBegich+1
605LV
May 6-9
605LV
Gross
45%
Gross
45%

Gross

45%

Begich

55%
55%
Begich  Begich+10
605LV
May 6-9
605LV
Gross
39%
Gross
39%

Gross

39%

Begich

32%

Palin

29%
32%
BegichGross+7
605LV
May 6-9
605LV
Gross
35%
Gross
35%

Gross

35%

Begich

28%

Palin

26%

Sweeney

11%
28%
BegichGross+7

May 4, 2022

U.S. House, ME-2, 2022

404LV
Apr.21-May 5
404LV
Golden
45%
Golden
45%

Golden

45%

Poliquin

36%
36%
Poliquin  Golden+9

U.S. House, ME-1, 2022

421LV
Apr.21-May 5
421LV
Pingree
51%
Pingree
51%

Pingree

51%

Thelander

31%
31%
Thelander  Pingree+20

April 20, 2022

U.S. House, TX-34, 2022

400LV
Apr.19-21
400LV
Sanchez
19%
Sanchez
19%

Sanchez

19%

Flores

24%

Coronado

9%

Cantu-Cabrera

7%
24%
FloresFlores+5

U.S. House, FL-27, 2022

350LV
Apr.18-21
350LV
Russell
41%
Russell
41%

Russell

41%

Salazar

43%
43%
Salazar  Salazar+2

April 19, 2022

U.S. House, WA-4, 2022

720LV
Apr.17-20
720LV
Culp
38%
Culp
38%

Culp

38%

Newhouse

37%
37%
Newhouse  Culp+1
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