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Who’s ahead in the North Carolina 11th District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

SAMPLE TYPES:

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

DatesSamplePollsterResultNet result
Dates
Sample
PollsterResult

U.S. House, NC-11, 2020, General election

Oct. 15-18, 2020
400LV
Oct. 15-18, 2020
400LV
Davis
45%
Davis
45%

Davis

45%

Cawthorn

42%
42%
Cawthorn  Davis+3
Sept. 22-24, 2020
400LV
Sept. 22-24, 2020
400LV
Davis
46%
Davis
46%

Davis

46%

Cawthorn

42%
42%
Cawthorn  Davis+4
Aug. 5-6, 2020
500LV
Aug. 5-6, 2020
500LV
Davis
41%
Davis
41%

Davis

41%

Cawthorn

46%
46%
Cawthorn  Cawthorn+5
July 9-12, 2020
402LV
July 9-12, 2020
402LV
Davis
40%
Davis
40%

Davis

40%

Cawthorn

42%
42%
Cawthorn  Cawthorn+2

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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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