UPDATED Nov. 20, 2024, at 1:46 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Alaska House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Dates	Samplei SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS	Pollster	Sponsor	Result	Net result
Datesi SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS	Pollster	Result

Polls ending Nov. 2, 2022

U.S. House, AK-1, 2022, General election

Nov. 2-3

400

Nov. 2-3

400LV

Dittman Research

Peltola

56%

Peltola

56%

Peltola

56%

Palin

44%

Palin

Peltola

+12

Nov. 2-3

400

Nov. 2-3

400LV

Dittman Research

Peltola

49%

Peltola

49%

Peltola

49%

Palin

26%

Begich

25%

26%

Palin

Peltola

+23

49%

Peltola

26%

Palin

25%

Begich

Nov. 2-3

400

Nov. 2-3

400LV

Dittman Research

Peltola

48%

Peltola

48%

Peltola

48%

Palin

25%

Begich

23%

Bye

25%

Palin

Peltola

+23

48%

Peltola

25%

Palin

23%

Begich

Bye

Oct. 21, 2022

U.S. House, AK-1, 2022, General election

Oct. 19-22

1,276

Oct. 19-22

1,276LV

Alaska Survey Research

Peltola

56%

Peltola

56%

Peltola

56%

Begich

44%

Begich

Peltola

+12

Oct. 19-22

1,276

Oct. 19-22

1,276LV

Alaska Survey Research

Peltola

57%

Peltola

57%

Peltola

57%

Palin

43%

Palin

Peltola

+13

Oct. 19-22

1,276

Oct. 19-22

1,276LV

Alaska Survey Research

Peltola

51%

Peltola

51%

Peltola

51%

Palin

27%

Begich

22%

27%

Palin

Peltola

+24

51%

Peltola

27%

Palin

22%

Begich

Oct. 19-22

1,276

Oct. 19-22

1,276LV

Alaska Survey Research

Peltola

49%

Peltola

49%

Peltola

49%

Palin

26%

Begich

21%

Bye

26%

Palin

Peltola

+23

49%

Peltola

26%

Palin

21%

Begich

Bye

Oct. 7, 2022

U.S. House, AK-1, 2022, General election

Oct. 4-8

411

Oct. 4-8

411LV

Dittman Research

Peltola

52%

Peltola

52%

Peltola

52%

Begich

48%

Begich

Peltola

Oct. 4-8

411

Oct. 4-8

411LV

Dittman Research

Peltola

46%

Peltola

46%

Peltola

46%

Begich

30%

Palin

24%

30%

Begich

Peltola

+17

46%

Peltola

30%

Begich

24%

Palin

Oct. 4-8

411

Oct. 4-8

411LV

Dittman Research

Peltola

45%

Peltola

45%

Peltola

45%

Begich

28%

Palin

23%

Bye

28%

Begich

Peltola

+18

45%

Peltola

28%

Begich

23%

Palin

Bye

Sept. 26, 2022

U.S. House, AK-1, 2022, General election

Sept. 25-27

1,282

Sept. 25-27

1,282LV

Alaska Survey Research

Peltola

56%

Peltola

56%

Peltola

56%

Palin

44%

Palin

Peltola

+13

Sept. 25-27

1,282

Sept. 25-27

1,282LV

Alaska Survey Research

Peltola

54%

Peltola

54%

Peltola

54%

Begich

46%

Begich

Peltola

Sept. 25-27

1,282

Sept. 25-27

1,282LV

Alaska Survey Research

Peltola

50%

Peltola

50%

Peltola

50%

Begich

26%

Palin

24%

26%

Begich

Peltola

+23

50%

Peltola

26%

Begich

24%

Palin

Sept. 25-27

1,282

Sept. 25-27

1,282LV

Alaska Survey Research

Peltola

49%

Peltola

49%

Peltola

49%

Begich

26%

Palin

23%

Bye

26%

Begich

Peltola

+23

49%

Peltola

26%

Begich

23%

Palin

Bye

Sept. 13, 2022

U.S. House, AK-1, 2022, General election

Sept. 6-14

394

Sept. 6-14

394LV

Dittman Research

Peltola

58%

Peltola

58%

Peltola

58%

Palin

42%

Palin

Peltola

+15

Sept. 6-14

394

Sept. 6-14

394LV

Dittman Research

Peltola

51%

Peltola

51%

Peltola

51%

Palin

28%

Begich

21%

28%

Palin

Peltola

+23

51%

Peltola

28%

Palin

21%

Begich

Sept. 6-14

394

Sept. 6-14

394LV

Dittman Research

Peltola

50%

Peltola

50%

Peltola

50%

Palin

27%

Begich

20%

Bye

27%

Palin

Peltola

+23

50%

Peltola

27%

Palin

20%

Begich

Bye

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Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Polling averages by G. Elliott Morris. Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Andrea Jones-Rooy, Irena Li, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan, Geoffrey Skelley and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Editing by Sarah Frostenson, Nathaniel Rakich, Kaleigh Rogers and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux. Copy editing by Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Alex Kimball, Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan, Maya Sweedler and Curtis Yee.