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Who’s ahead in the California 22nd District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, CA-22, 2022, General election

July 30-Aug. 5
400LV
July 30-Aug. 5
400LV
RMG Research
 Salas
39%
 Salas
39%

Salas

39%

Valadao

34%
34%
Valadao  Salas+5
July 13-15
600LV
July 13-15
600LV
David Binder Research
 Salas
43%
 Salas
43%

Salas

43%

Valadao

35%
35%
Valadao  Salas+8
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