Filter by poll type or state

Who’s ahead in the California 27th District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, CA-27, 2022, General election

Oct. 3-6
400LV
Oct. 3-6
400LV
Mellman Group
 Smith
47%
 Smith
47%

Smith

47%

Garcia

41%
41%
Garcia  Smith+6
Aug. 25-30
600LV
Aug. 25-30
600LV
Mellman Group
 Smith
44%
 Smith
44%

Smith

44%

Garcia

42%
42%
Garcia  Smith+2
April 19-20
801LV
April 19-20
801LV
Remington Research Group
 Smith
45%
 Smith
45%

Smith

45%

Garcia

47%
47%
Garcia  Garcia+2
April 19-20
801LV
April 19-20
801LV
Remington Research Group
 Quartey
41%
 Quartey
41%

Quartey

41%

Garcia

47%
47%
Garcia  Garcia+6
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download