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Who’s ahead in the Connecticut 5th District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, CT-5, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 23-27
600LV
Oct. 23-27
600LV
Hayes
45%
Hayes
45%

Hayes

45%

Logan

45%
45%
Logan  Even
Oct. 19-21
500LV
Oct. 19-21
500LV
Hayes
49%
Hayes
49%

Hayes

49%

Logan

49%
49%
Logan  Logan+1
Oct. 4-6
400LV
Oct. 4-6
400LV
Hayes
48%
Hayes
48%

Hayes

48%

Logan

46%
46%
Logan  Hayes+2
July 20-26
400LV
July 20-26
400LV
Hayes
45%
Hayes
45%

Hayes

45%

Logan

37%
37%
Logan  Hayes+8
July 16-24
400RV
July 16-24
400RV
Hayes
45%
Hayes
45%

Hayes

45%

Logan

45%
45%
Logan  Even
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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