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Who’s ahead in the Florida House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 26, 2022

U.S. House, FL-13, 2022, General election

Oct. 26-27
509LV
Oct. 26-27
509LV
St. Pete Polls
 Lynn
45%
 Lynn
45%

Lynn

45%

Luna

46%
46%
Luna  Luna+1

U.S. House, FL-4, 2022, General election

Oct. 20-27
413LV
Oct. 20-27
413LV
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab
 Holloway
38%
 Holloway
38%

Holloway

38%

Bean

50%
50%
Bean  Bean+12

Oct. 10, 2022

U.S. House, FL-27, 2022, General election

Oct. 9-11
300LV
Oct. 9-11
300LV
Cygnal
 Taddeo
44%
 Taddeo
44%

Taddeo

44%

Salazar

50%
50%
Salazar  Salazar+6

Oct. 5, 2022

U.S. House, FL-13, 2022, General election

Oct. 4-6
600LV
Oct. 4-6
600LV
David Binder Research
 Lynn
47%
 Lynn
47%

Lynn

47%

Luna

47%
47%
Luna  Even

Oct. 4, 2022

U.S. House, FL-27, 2022, General election

Oct. 3-5
400LV
Oct. 3-5
400LV
SEA Polling & Strategic Design
 Taddeo
47%
 Taddeo
47%

Taddeo

47%

Salazar

46%
46%
Salazar  Taddeo+1

Sept. 25, 2022

U.S. House, FL-1, 2022, General election

Sept. 22-26
618LV
Sept. 22-26
618LV
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group
 Jones
39%
 Jones
39%

Jones

39%

Gaetz

41%
41%
Gaetz  Gaetz+2
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