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Who’s ahead in the Maine 1st District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, ME-1, 2022, General election

Nov. 2-6
477LV
Nov. 2-6
477LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Pingree
58%
 Pingree
58%

Pingree

58%

Thelander

39%
39%
Thelander  Pingree+19
Oct. 7-15
400LV
Oct. 7-15
400LV
Pan Atlantic Research
 Pingree
63%
 Pingree
63%

Pingree

63%

Thelander

28%
28%
Thelander  Pingree+35
Sept. 15-19
694LV
Sept. 15-19
694LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Pingree
57%
 Pingree
57%

Pingree

57%

Thelander

32%
32%
Thelander  Pingree+25
May 10-13
250LV
May 10-13
250LV
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research
 Pingree
57%
 Pingree
57%

Pingree

57%

Thelander

33%
33%
Thelander  Pingree+24
April 21-May 5
421LV
April 21-May 5
421LV
Pan Atlantic Research
 Pingree
51%
 Pingree
51%

Pingree

51%

Thelander

31%
31%
Thelander  Pingree+20
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Candidate is an incumbent

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