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Who’s ahead in the Michigan 10th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, MI-10, 2022

400LV
Oct.16-18
400LV
Marlinga
44%
Marlinga
44%

Marlinga

44%

James

42%
42%
James  Marlinga+2
400LV
Oct.4-6
400LV
Marlinga
36%
Marlinga
36%

Marlinga

36%

James

44%
44%
James  James+8
429LV
Aug.16-21
429LV
Marlinga
38%
Marlinga
38%

Marlinga

38%

James

47%
47%
James  James+9
400LV
Aug.16-19
400LV
Marlinga
47%
Marlinga
47%

Marlinga

47%

James

45%
45%
James  Marlinga+2
400LV
May 24-27
400LV
Marlinga
44%
Marlinga
44%

Marlinga

44%

James

40%
40%
James  Marlinga+4
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Candidate is an incumbent

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