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Who’s ahead in the Montana 1st District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, MT-1, 2022

Oct.3-14
143A
Oct.3-14
143A
B/C
Montana State University Billings
 Tranel
32%
 Tranel
32%

Tranel

32%

Zinke

34%

Lamb

12%
34%
 ZinkeZinke+2
Sep.27-Oct.1
840LV
Sep.27-Oct.1
840LV
B/C
Victoria Research & Consulting
 Tranel
40%
 Tranel
40%

Tranel

40%

Zinke

41%

Lamb

8%
41%
 ZinkeZinke+1
Sep.14-19
400LV
Sep.14-19
400LV
B/C
Impact Research
 Tranel
43%
 Tranel
43%

Tranel

43%

Zinke

45%

Lamb

3%
45%
 ZinkeZinke+2
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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