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Who’s ahead in the New Hampshire 1st District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, NH-1, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-6
1,043LV
Nov. 2-6
1,043LV
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
 Pappas
50%
 Pappas
50%

Pappas

50%

Leavitt

49%
49%
Leavitt  Pappas+1
Oct. 28-29
791LV
Oct. 28-29
791LV
Saint Anselm College Survey Center
 Pappas
45%
 Pappas
45%

Pappas

45%

Leavitt

51%
51%
Leavitt  Leavitt+6
Oct. 25-26
525LV
Oct. 25-26
525LV
co/efficient
 Pappas
48%
 Pappas
48%

Pappas

48%

Leavitt

44%
44%
Leavitt  Pappas+4
Oct. 2-6
250LV
Oct. 2-6
250LV
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research
 Pappas
48%
 Pappas
48%

Pappas

48%

Leavitt

47%
47%
Leavitt  Pappas+1
Sept. 27-28
450LV
Sept. 27-28
450LV
Saint Anselm College Survey Center
 Pappas
49%
 Pappas
49%

Pappas

49%

Leavitt

41%
41%
Leavitt  Pappas+8
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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