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Who’s ahead in the Texas 15th District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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LIKELY VOTERS

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, TX-15, 2022, General election

Oct. 10-14
400LV
Oct. 10-14
400LV
Bendixen & Amandi International
 Vallejo
45%
 Vallejo
45%

Vallejo

45%

De La Cruz-Hernandez

45%

Leone

4%
45%
 De La Cruz-HernandezEven
July 22-29
400LV
July 22-29
400LV
RMG Research
 Vallejo
40%
 Vallejo
40%

Vallejo

40%

De La Cruz-Hernandez

44%
44%
De La Cruz-Hernandez  De La Cruz-Hernandez+4
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