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Who’s ahead in the Wisconsin 3rd District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, WI-3, 2022, General election

Aug. 18-19
626LV
Aug. 18-19
626LV
Public Policy Polling
 Pfaff
40%
 Pfaff
40%

Pfaff

40%

Van Orden

45%
45%
Van Orden  Van Orden+5
Aug. 15-18
403LV
Aug. 15-18
403LV
Cygnal
 Pfaff
38%
 Pfaff
38%

Pfaff

38%

Van Orden

50%
50%
Van Orden  Van Orden+13
June 1-2
602V
June 1-2
602V
Public Policy Polling
 McGrath
38%
 McGrath
38%

McGrath

38%

Van Orden

47%
47%
Van Orden  Van Orden+9
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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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