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Who’s ahead in the Arizona House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

SAMPLE TYPES:

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

DatesSamplePollsterResultNet result
Dates
Sample
PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 9, 2024

U.S. House, AZ-2, 2024, General election

Oct. 8-10, 2024
414LV
Oct. 8-10, 2024
414LV
Nez
42%
Nez
42%

Nez

42%

Crane

42%
42%
Crane  Even

Aug. 12, 2024

U.S. House, AZ-1, 2024, General election

Aug. 8-13, 2024
LV
Aug. 8-13, 2024
LV
Shah
48%
Shah
48%

Shah

48%

Schweikert

47%
47%
Schweikert  Shah+1

Aug. 3, 2024

U.S. House, AZ-1, 2024, General election

Aug. 1-4, 2024
500LV
Aug. 1-4, 2024
500LV
Shah
48%
Shah
48%

Shah

48%

Schweikert

48%
48%
Schweikert  Even

July 11, 2024

U.S. House, AZ-6, 2024, General election

July 9-12, 2024
855LV
July 9-12, 2024
855LV
Engel
44%
Engel
44%

Engel

44%

Ciscomani

43%
43%
Ciscomani  Engel+1

May 29, 2024

U.S. House, AZ-6, 2024, General election

May 28-30, 2024
300RV
May 28-30, 2024
300RV
Engel
39%
Engel
39%

Engel

39%

Ciscomani

50%
50%
Ciscomani  Ciscomani+11

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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