Filter by poll type or state

Who’s ahead in the Arizona 1st District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Aug. 12, 2024

U.S. House, AZ-1, 2024, General election

Aug. 8-13
LV
Aug. 8-13
LV
Shah
48%
Shah
48%

Shah

48%

Schweikert

47%
47%
Schweikert  Shah+1

Aug. 3, 2024

U.S. House, AZ-1, 2024, General election

Aug. 1-4
500LV
Aug. 1-4
500LV
Shah
48%
Shah
48%

Shah

48%

Schweikert

48%
48%
Schweikert  Even

June 26, 2024

U.S. House, AZ-1, 2024, Democratic primary

June 25-27
420LV
June 25-27
420LV
Cherny
16%
Cherny
16%

Cherny

16%

Shah

16%

Galán-Woods

14%

O'Callaghan

11%

Horne

8%

Kroemer

1%
16%
ShahEven

June 20, 2024

U.S. House, AZ-1, 2024, Democratic primary

June 17-21
485LV
June 17-21
485LV
Shah
18%
Shah
18%

Shah

18%

O'Callaghan

15%

Cherny

13%

Galán-Woods

13%

Horne

7%

Kroemer

4%
15%
O'CallaghanShah+3

June 18, 2024

U.S. House, AZ-1, 2024, Democratic primary

June 10-19
406LV
June 10-19
406LV
O'Callaghan
17%
O'Callaghan
17%

O'Callaghan

17%

Shah

15%

Galán-Woods

12%

Cherny

12%

Horne

11%
15%
ShahO'Callaghan+2
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download