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Who’s ahead in the California 16th District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Sept. 5-10
600LV
Sept. 5-10
600LV
Liccardo
48%
Liccardo
48%

Liccardo

48%

Low

45%
45%
Low  Liccardo+3
Sept. 4-7
600LV
Sept. 4-7
600LV
Liccardo
42%
Liccardo
42%

Liccardo

42%

Low

28%
28%
Low  Liccardo+14
July 23-29
500LV
July 23-29
500LV
Liccardo
30%
Liccardo
30%

Liccardo

30%

Low

29%
29%
Low  Liccardo+1
June 24-27
600LV
June 24-27
600LV
Liccardo
39%
Liccardo
39%

Liccardo

39%

Low

28%
28%
Low  Liccardo+11
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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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