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Who’s ahead in the California 22nd District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

SAMPLE TYPES:

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

DatesSamplePollsterResultNet result
Dates
Sample
PollsterResult

U.S. House, CA-22, 2024, General election

Oct. 22-26, 2024
525LV
Oct. 22-26, 2024
525LV
Salas
47%
Salas
47%

Salas

47%

Valadao

45%
45%
Valadao  Salas+2
Sept. 23-26, 2024
350LV
Sept. 23-26, 2024
350LV
Salas
45%
Salas
45%

Salas

45%

Valadao

45%
45%
Valadao  Even
Sept. 14-21, 2024
263LV
Sept. 14-21, 2024
263LV
Salas
47%
Salas
47%

Salas

47%

Valadao

44%
44%
Valadao  Salas+4
Aug. 25-27, 2024
400LV
Aug. 25-27, 2024
400LV
Salas
46%
Salas
46%

Salas

46%

Valadao

44%
44%
Valadao  Salas+2
Aug. 10-17, 2024
479LV
Aug. 10-17, 2024
479LV
Salas
38%
Salas
38%

Salas

38%

Valadao

44%
44%
Valadao  Valadao+6

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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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