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Who’s ahead in the California 41st District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, CA-41, 2024, General election

Oct. 3-6
500LV
Oct. 3-6
500LV
Rollins
45%
Rollins
45%

Rollins

45%

Calvert

45%
45%
Calvert  Even
Sept. 14-21
539LV
Sept. 14-21
539LV
Rollins
47%
Rollins
47%

Rollins

47%

Calvert

48%
48%
Calvert  Even
Sept. 5-12
450LV
Sept. 5-12
450LV
Rollins
41%
Rollins
41%

Rollins

41%

Calvert

35%
35%
Calvert  Rollins+6
May 1-6
600LV
May 1-6
600LV
Rollins
45%
Rollins
45%

Rollins

45%

Calvert

44%
44%
Calvert  Rollins+1
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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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