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Who’s ahead in the California 45th District House general election?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, CA-45, 2024, General election

Oct. 13-15
400LV
Oct. 13-15
400LV
Tran
48%
Tran
48%

Tran

48%

Steel

45%
45%
Steel  Tran+3
Oct. 8-10
400LV
Oct. 8-10
400LV
Tran
41%
Tran
41%

Tran

41%

Steel

45%
45%
Steel  Steel+4
Sept. 14-19
600LV
Sept. 14-19
600LV
Tran
47%
Tran
47%

Tran

47%

Steel

45%
45%
Steel  Tran+2
July 29-31
500LV
July 29-31
500LV
Tran
47%
Tran
47%

Tran

47%

Steel

47%
47%
Steel  Even
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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